Trump Says Republicans Could Win Midterms in Landslide

Summary

Trump said Republicans could win a landslide in the midterms, claiming inflation is solved despite September CPI at 3.7%, and urged supporters to vote, while historical data show the president's party rarely wins midterms Zhitong.

Impact Analysis

So Trump’s “landslide” line is election-eve mobilization, not a market signal. The real tell is that he is pushing turnout against a brutal historical backdrop: the president’s party has won only two of twenty midterms since World War II, while polls and analysts lean toward a Democratic House and an uncertain Senate Zhitong+ 2. Markets are already trading the AI unwind, not the election: the Nasdaq-100 is in correction, hyperscalers and chipmakers have shed hundreds of billions, and hedge funds are rotating toward Treasuries and defensives Baystreet+ 2. If Republicans underperform, the bigger risk is not a pro-business rally but gridlock, fiscal brinkmanship, and slower data-center/crypto policy clarity benzinga_article+ 2. Trade the election as a volatility event, not a directional catalyst: trim crowded AI beta, avoid leveraged tech ETFs, hedge with duration, and keep optionality in semis/energy where geopolitical headlines can still move prices Baystreet+ 2.