--- title: "Morgan Stanley stubbornly short: The US stock market seems to have \"overlooked\" many risks" description: "JPMorgan Chase believes that the U.S. stock market has overlooked many risks and is still trading at record highs. The bank's chief market strategist stated that the stock market has decoupled from th" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/205997181.md" published_at: "2024-06-11T07:02:04.000Z" --- # Morgan Stanley stubbornly short: The US stock market seems to have "overlooked" many risks > JPMorgan Chase believes that the U.S. stock market has overlooked many risks and is still trading at record highs. The bank's chief market strategist stated that the stock market has decoupled from the bond market, with investors lowering their rate expectations. Risks include political factors in emerging markets, the surge of MEME stocks and cryptocurrency trading, high inflation, and signals of economic slowdown. JPMorgan Chase advises investors to prepare for potential stock market volatility Intelligent Finance APP noticed that JPMorgan Chase is still sticking to its defensive stance towards the market. The bank's chief market strategist, Marko Kolanovic, stated on Monday that the stock market has overlooked many risks. Kolanovic mentioned that the company is maintaining an underweight position in stocks in its model portfolio, while increasing positions in commodities and cash. He supported this stance, stating that last Friday the stock market and bond market further "decoupled," with yields surging as investors lowered rate hike expectations following a stronger-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report. The stock market rebounded intraday but ultimately fell back. "In addition, the stock market seems to be overlooking too many risks," he said. These risks include political factors that "disrupted" several emerging markets last week. The unexpected election results in India and Mexico markets caused a scare. Kolanovic also mentioned that risks include the resurgence of MEME stocks and crypto trading, which "may signal a bubble," high inflation, and signals of economic slowdown. "Despite the abundance of risks, the stock market is still trading near record highs, with increased investor confidence and positions," he stated. In another report, JPMorgan Chase stated that investors should prepare for potential stock market volatility on Wednesday, when CPI data and the Fed's interest rate decision will be announced. Andrew Tyler, head of JPMorgan Chase's US market intelligence department, stated that the options market expects the S&P 500 index to fluctuate "in either direction" by around 1.3%-1.4% by Friday. Following the release of the May jobs report last Friday, JPMorgan Chase abandoned expectations of rate cuts starting in July, pushing back the first rate cut expectation to November ### Related Stocks - [.IXIC.US - NASDAQ Composite Index](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.IXIC.US.md) - [.DJI.US - Dow Jones Industrial Average](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.DJI.US.md) - [JPM.US - JPMorgan Chase](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 创纪录资金涌入,却换来 15 年最差相对表现!美股光环褪去,美元警报响起? | 德银称,2025 年美股获得相当于 GDP 约 2% 的创纪录资金流入,但却跑输全球创下 15 年来最差相对表现。随着估值溢价仍高、非美盈利动能回升,海外资金可能重新评估对美股超配;若资金净流入降温甚至反转,美元或面临类似 2000 年代初 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276976336.md) | | 美 30 年期按揭利率 2022 年来首破 6%,业内:今春楼市销售或创多年来最佳 | 美国 30 年期固定按揭贷款平均利率首次跌破 6%,为 5.98%。这一变化可能刺激春季房屋销售,业内人士认为销售将是多年来最佳。尽管购房负担能力有所改善,但市场仍需更多房源上市以维持增长。当前,约 70% 的借款人利率低于 5%,借贷成本 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/277105242.md) | | 2025 年全球工业 “一场奇特的反弹” | 2025 年全球制造业表现出韧性,摩根大通指出,全球工业产出在经历低迷后重新抬头,且商品部门在贸易摩擦中表现优于服务业。研报分析了需求端的资本开支、AI 热潮及非科技部门的复苏,预计未来几个月全球工业产出将保持 2%-3% 的年化增速。尽管 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276871525.md) | | 美联储理事米兰:认为我们今年需要降息大约一个百分点 | 美联储理事米兰:认为我们今年需要降息大约一个百分点。风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/277055540.md) | | 意外升温!美国 1 月核心 PPI 创一年最快增速,美联储货币政策复杂化加剧 | 美国 1 月 PPI 环比 0.5%、同比 2.9%,核心 PPI 环比 0.8%、同比 3.6%,均大幅超出市场预期,核心同比增速创 2025 年 3 月以来最快。服务成本飙升是主要驱动,批发零售贸易服务利润率跳升 2.5%。商品价格受能 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/277220965.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.