--- title: "The Next Bitcoin Halving Won't Happen Until 2028. Here's What Could Happen in the Meantime." description: "The next Bitcoin halving is scheduled for 2028, following a pattern that has historically influenced Bitcoin's price. With each halving, the mining reward decreases, fostering scarcity and typically l" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/213762119.md" published_at: "2024-09-08T18:19:58.000Z" --- # The Next Bitcoin Halving Won't Happen Until 2028. Here's What Could Happen in the Meantime. > The next Bitcoin halving is scheduled for 2028, following a pattern that has historically influenced Bitcoin's price. With each halving, the mining reward decreases, fostering scarcity and typically leading to price appreciation. Current trends suggest the market is bullish, potentially peaking in 2025, followed by a likely bear market before the next halving. Historical data indicates that post-cycles of contraction are often followed by growth phases, presenting opportunities for investors to accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices before the halving. Few events hold as much influence over **Bitcoin** (BTC 0.21%) as its halvings. Occurring roughly every four years, they form the foundation of Bitcoin's monetary design. Bitcoin's halvings -- reducing the reward for mining -- have led to consistent, recognizable patterns over the years since its 2009 launch. While past performance doesn't guarantee future outcomes, the reliable nature of the halvings' intervals provides useful data points for investors. The next halving won't take place until 2028, and understanding these patterns could shed light on potential market developments between now and then. Image source: Getty Images. ## What are Bitcoin halvings and why do they matter? Every 10 minutes or so, a new "block" is created on the Bitcoin blockchain. A Bitcoin halving occurs every 210,000 blocks, which roughly translates to once every four years. When these events occur, the rewards in new Bitcoin that miners receive for processing transactions and securing the network are cut in half, decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoin comes into circulation. When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, the block reward was 50 BTC. The first halving in 2012 reduced it to 25 BTC, followed by 12.5 BTC in 2016, and then to 6.25 BTC in 2020. This year's halving reduced the reward to 3.125 BTC per block, sending Bitcoin's annual inflation rate to less than 1%. This process will continue until 2140, when the last Bitcoins will be mined. The halving is a deliberate feature of Bitcoin's protocol, designed to control inflation and ensure that the total supply of Bitcoin that can ever exist is capped at 21 million. By reducing the rate at which new Bitcoin is created, the halvings exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, assuming that demand remains constant or increases. Historically, this deflationary mechanism has been a key driver of Bitcoin's price appreciation, as it introduces scarcity into the market. ## What could happen before the next halving? So what could happen between now and the next halving predicted for 2028? Well, for now, it appears that the market is in a bullish trend and has yet to hit a peak. Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen compared Bitcoin's price movements across the last three cycles in the chart below, and his analysis suggests that the current market still has room to grow. > Despite everything, #BTC is right around where it always is at this point in the market cycle pic.twitter.com/zO52x9tAtX > > \-- Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) August 21, 2024 If past trends hold, this bull market could see a peak sometime in 2025. While predicting the exact price is challenging, it's reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could achieve a significant increase from its current levels. But eventually, what goes up has to come down. As euphoric as the peak periods of Bitcoin bull markets can get, painful and brutal crypto winters usually set in just as fast. For example, during the last market cycle, Bitcoin fell from a high of $68,000 to $34,000 in just two months, eventually bottoming out at $16,000 by late 2022. This type of volatile price action has been consistent across previous cycles and could very well repeat as we approach 2026 and 2027. But history tells us that periods of contraction are often followed by new phases of growth and there's reason to believe that 2028 could be a year when Bitcoin once again rises from a crypto winter. ## Navigating Bitcoin's cycles While no one can accurately predict the future, Bitcoin's historical patterns are difficult to dismiss and offer valuable insights for investors. Understanding these cycles can help investors navigate Bitcoin's volatility, recognizing it as part of a broader trend toward higher prices over time. Although the current bull market has likely yet to hit a peak, it will eventually give way to a bear market. But if there's anything history has taught us, it's that these periods present opportunities to accumulate the cryptocurrency at lower prices, positioning investors for potential gains as the next halving gets closer. ### Related Stocks - [GBTC.US - Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC - ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GBTC.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | BREAKINGVIEWS-稳定币巨头是加密货币领域的脆弱基础 | Tether，全球最大的稳定币 USDT 的发行者，尽管面临监管挑战和市场波动，仍展现出韧性。其市值达到 1840 亿美元，主导着与美元挂钩的数字货币。然而，由于其股权缓冲减少，风险资产在其储备中所占比例增大，其财务稳定性受到质疑。如果市场 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276411736.md) | | Coinbase 首席执行官表示加密货币交易所被 “误解” | Coinbase 首席执行官布莱恩·阿姆斯特朗声称，加密货币交易所被投资者 “误解”，并指出华尔街在公司面临 30% 股票下跌的情况下低估了该公司。他认为，传统金融将数字资产视为威胁，类似于过去 Uber 和 Airbnb 等公司的颠覆。社 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276453663.md) | | 沃尔玛四季度财报超预期但盈利指引不及预期，CEO 称 “美国低收入家庭只能勉强维持生计” | 沃尔玛 Q4 营收超预期，新财年盈利指引（每股 2.75-2.85 美元）远低于市场预期的 2.96 美元，显示通胀压力下消费者支出不确定性犹存，拖累股价下跌 1.38%。财报印证 K 型” 分化：高收入家庭驱动增长，低收入群体 “钱包吃紧 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276398633.md) | | 谷歌突然发布 Gemini 3.1 Pro：核心推理性能直接翻倍 | 谷歌发布了最新的大模型 Gemini 3.1 Pro，其推理性能较去年发布的 Gemini 3 Pro 翻倍。在 ARC-AGI-2 评测中，Gemini 3.1 Pro 得分 77.1%，显示出强大的推理能力。新模型支持多源数据综合和复杂 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276396515.md) | | 学习英伟达刺激芯片销售，AMD 为 “AI 云” 借款做担保 | AMD 为扩大市场份额祭出金融 “狠招”！为初创公司 Crusoe 的 3 亿美元购芯贷款提供担保，承诺在其无客户时 “兜底” 租用芯片。这一复刻英伟达 “租卡云” 路径的策略虽能短期推高销量，但也令 AMD 在 AI 需求放缓时面临更大的 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276401504.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.