--- title: "Bank of America: Raises Alibaba's target price to HKD 114 and adjusts the earnings forecast for the fiscal year 2025 to 2027" description: "Bank of America Securities raised Alibaba's target price to HKD 114 and increased the adjusted net profit forecast for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 7%. It is expected that Alibaba's revenue " type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/225793412.md" published_at: "2025-01-22T07:34:10.000Z" --- # Bank of America: Raises Alibaba's target price to HKD 114 and adjusts the earnings forecast for the fiscal year 2025 to 2027 > Bank of America Securities raised Alibaba's target price to HKD 114 and increased the adjusted net profit forecast for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 7%. It is expected that Alibaba's revenue in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 will grow by 9% year-on-year to RMB 283.5 billion, with core Taotian Group revenue expected to increase by 7%. The overall adjusted EBITA is expected to be RMB 54.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3%. The firm maintains a "Buy" rating on Alibaba, believing that strategic investments in the core e-commerce business will drive future growth Bank of America Securities released a report indicating that Alibaba is expected to announce its third-quarter results for the fiscal year 2025 between mid to late February, estimating a year-on-year revenue growth of 9% to CNY 283.5 billion, which is 2% higher than market expectations, with core Taotian Group revenue expected to rise by 7% year-on-year. Additionally, the bank anticipates that customer management revenue in the Chinese market will grow by 7% year-on-year to CNY 98.8 billion, primarily benefiting from the acceleration of Alibaba's gross merchandise volume growth during the Double Eleven promotion, appliance subsidy programs, and ongoing user engagement and experience upgrades; the increase in commission rates on Taobao and the artificial intelligence tool Quanzhantui have also improved the group's monetization rate. The bank believes that Taotian Group's growth rate will outperform the industry, with adjusted EBITA forecasted to grow by 1% year-on-year to CNY 60.7 billion; revenue from Alibaba's International Digital Commerce Group and cloud business is expected to grow by 26% and 9% year-on-year, respectively. The bank expects Alibaba's overall adjusted EBITA to be CNY 54.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3%; adjusted net profit is forecasted to be CNY 47.4 billion, slightly above market expectations. Looking ahead to the fiscal year 2026, as strategic investments in the core e-commerce business begin to yield results, it is estimated that the adjusted EBITA of Taotian Group and the group will resume growth. The bank has raised its adjusted net profit forecasts for Alibaba for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 7%, increasing its target price from HKD 109 to HKD 114, maintaining a "Buy" rating ### Related Stocks - [89988.HK - BABA-WR](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/89988.HK.md) - [BABA.US - Alibaba](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BABA.US.md) - [09988.HK - BABA-W](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/09988.HK.md) - [002024.CN - SUNING.COM](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/002024.CN.md) - [605050.CN - FRIEND](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/605050.CN.md) - [06690.HK - HAIER SMARTHOME](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/06690.HK.md) - [BAC.US - Bank of America](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BAC.US.md) - [01024.HK - KUAISHOU-W](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/01024.HK.md) - [XHS.NA - 小红书](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/XHS.NA.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 测评超谷歌英伟达!阿里发布 RynnBrain 机器人大模型:让机器人具备 “思考大脑” | 阿里巴巴于 2 月 10 日推出了机器人 AI 基础模型 RynnBrain,旨在赋予机器人感知、决策与执行能力。该模型在多项评测中超越谷歌和英伟达的主流模型,具备时空记忆与推理能力,能够在多任务中保持工作连续性。RynnBrain 的开源 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275420195.md) | | 阿里这次出招具身智能,剑指深度环境理解力 | 引入了时空记忆和物理世界推理两项核心能力。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275425215.md) | | 中国大模型 “春节档” 打响!等待消费级 AI 出 “爆款” | 2025 年 DeepSeek 的春节突袭战术已成为行业教科书。2026 年所有人都学会了这一招。字节、阿里、智谱及 DeepSeek“春节档” 密集发布旗舰模型,竞争焦点从单纯的模型性能转向 “效率” 与 “智能体” 落地。分析指,若 D | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275684474.md) | | 中国 AI 大战:“百模大战” 已结束,最大的利润池归属大厂,智谱和 MiniMax 如何突围? | 中国 AI 行业的 “百模大战” 正在落幕,真正的玩家已缩减至 10 家。最刺耳的结论是,最大利润池将归掌控分发的腾讯、阿里等大厂,而非模型公司。独立厂商中,智谱靠本地化部署守住 59% 高毛利,MiniMax 则靠 73% 的海外收入和全 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275399201.md) | | 春节 AI 大战只是表现?摩根大通:token 消耗量将进入高速增长期,五年或增长 370 倍! | 摩根大通指出,春节期间的 AI 应用推广战只是表面现象,市场应关注消费者获取信息的结构性改变,这将推动 Token 消耗量进入高速增长期。预计 2025 年至 2030 年,中国 Token 消耗量年复合增长率将达 330%。投资者应关注 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275448139.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.