--- title: "Kroger Q2 Preview: 60% Chance Of A Post-Earnings Rise" description: "Kroger is set to announce its Q2 earnings on September 10, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.00 per share and revenues of $34.13 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase. Historic" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/256537268.md" published_at: "2025-09-09T10:34:49.000Z" --- # Kroger Q2 Preview: 60% Chance Of A Post-Earnings Rise > Kroger is set to announce its Q2 earnings on September 10, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.00 per share and revenues of $34.13 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase. Historically, Kroger's stock has risen 60% of the time post-earnings, with a median one-day increase of 7.6%. The company forecasts a 2.25%-3.25% increase in FY 2025 identical sales and plans to invest in e-commerce while executing selective store closures. Kroger's current market cap is $45 billion, with $147 billion in revenue over the last twelve months. Money Markets Kroger Q2 Preview: 60% Chance Of A Post-Earnings Rise ByTrefis Team , Contributor. Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for Great Speculations Follow Author Sep 09, 2025, 06:30am EDT Share Save Comment CHONGQING, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 4: In this photo illustration, a smartphone shows the logo of The Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR), a U.S. supermarket chain and one of the largest grocery retailers in the country, with the company's latest stock market chart seen in the background on September 4, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images) Getty Images Kroger (NYSE: KR) , a company that operates retail food and drug stores, multi-department stores, jewelry stores, and convenience stores across the United States, is set to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, September 10, 2025. Analysts anticipate earnings of $1.00 per share on revenues of $34.13 billion. This would signify an 8% increase in earnings year-over-year and a slight rise in sales compared to the previous year’s results of $0.93 per share and $33.91 billion in revenue. Historically, KR stock has risen 60% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 7.6% and a maximum observed rise of 17%. Kroger forecasts FY 2025 identical sales (excluding fuel) to increase by 2.25%–3.25%, with adjusted EPS of $4.60–$4.80 and free cash flow estimated between $2.8–$3.0 billion. The company plans to execute selective store closures, accelerate openings, continue investing in e-commerce, and reinvest cost efficiencies into prices and operations to maintain growth. The company has a current market capitalization of $45 billion. Revenue over the last twelve months stood at $147 billion, and it achieved operational profitability with $3.9 billion in operating profits and net income of $2.6 billion. While much will rely on how results compare to consensus and expectations, recognizing historical patterns might tilt the odds in your favor if you are a trader focused on events. Additionally, see Bigbear.ai: Will BBAI Stock Rebound To $10? You may either trade according to historical odds before earnings or track post-earnings return patterns to inform your position afterward. That being said, if you seek upside with less volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative – having outpaced the S&P 500 and generated returns above 91% since its inception. See earnings reaction history of all stocks . Kroger’s General Stores Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return Some insights into one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: MORE FOR YOU There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the past five years, with 12 positive and 8 negative one-day (1D) returns noted. Overall, positive 1D returns were realized approximately 60% of the time. Importantly, this percentage rises to 67% if we look at data from the last 3 years instead of the past 5. The median of the 12 positive returns = 6.3%, and the median of the 8 negative returns = -2.8% Additional information for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings is summarized along with the statistics in the following table. KR 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return Trefis Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns A strategy that carries relatively less risk (though it is ineffective if the correlation is weak) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings, identify a pair that shows the greatest correlation, and execute the corresponding trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D demonstrate the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the upcoming 5 days should the 1D post-earnings return be positive. Below is some correlation data based on both 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D\_5D pertains to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and the following 5D returns. KR Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns Trefis Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings? At times, the performance of peers can affect the stock response post-earnings. Indeed, pricing may commence prior to the earnings announcement. Below is some historical information regarding the past post-earnings performance of Kroger stock compared to the performance of peers that disclosed earnings just before Kroger. To ensure a fair comparison, peer stock returns also reflect post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. Correlation With Peers Trefis Learn more about Trefis RV strategy which has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all 3, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), yielding strong returns for investors. Editorial Standards Reprints & Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... 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