---
title: "Societe Generale and Standard Chartered predict a 50 basis point rate cut and believe the Fed's policy needs \"significant adjustments.\""
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/257346511.md"
description: "Societe Generale and Standard Chartered predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, arguing that the current moderately restrictive stance risks overtightening. They believe the focus should shift towards employment, necessitating a significant policy adjustment. This prediction contrasts with market expectations, which favor a 25 basis point cut, with only a 4% probability assigned to a 50 basis point reduction."
datetime: "2025-09-15T10:48:00.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/257346511.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/257346511.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/257346511.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# Societe Generale and Standard Chartered predict a 50 basis point rate cut and believe the Fed's policy needs "significant adjustments."

Societe Generale analysts believe the Fed's moderately restrictive stance has persisted for too long and is posing a risk of "overtightening." Therefore, while concerns remain about inflation stickiness, the risk balance within the Fed's dual mandate (employment and inflation) has tilted toward employment, necessitating a more drastic policy adjustment (i.e., a 50 basis point rate cut). They are not alone in this view; Standard Chartered is the only other institution predicting a 50 basis point rate cut this week. However, it's important to note that this view contradicts current market pricing and consensus expectations, which are for a 25 basis point rate cut. As previously mentioned, traders currently rank the probability of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut at only approximately 4%. (Jinshi)

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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**