--- title: "State Street: Delayed interest rate hike expectations exacerbate yen weakness, but the policy window is still not closed" description: "Bart Wakabayashi, the manager of State Street's Tokyo branch, stated that the market had previously sold off the yen significantly due to the policy proposals of the leader of Japan's Liberal Democrat" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/260630623.md" published_at: "2025-10-10T12:14:30.000Z" --- # State Street: Delayed interest rate hike expectations exacerbate yen weakness, but the policy window is still not closed > Bart Wakabayashi, the manager of State Street's Tokyo branch, stated that the market had previously sold off the yen significantly due to the policy proposals of the leader of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Sanae Takaichi. If her appointment as Prime Minister cannot reach a consensus, the market will certainly react. Takaichi is not a supporter of interest rate hikes, and the delay in expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates has intensified the selling pressure on the yen. However, there may be room for policy adjustments. The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to remain on hold this month, but Wakabayashi believes this matter is not yet settled Bart Wakabayashi, the manager of the Tokyo branch of State Street, stated that the market had previously sold off the yen significantly due to the policy proposals of the leader of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Sanae Takaichi. If her appointment as Prime Minister cannot gain consensus, the market will certainly react. Takaichi is not a supporter of interest rate hikes, and the delay in expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates has intensified the selling pressure on the yen. However, there may be room for policy adjustments. The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to remain on hold this month, but Wakabayashi believes this matter is not yet settled ### Related Stocks - [STT.US - State Street](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STT.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 这家华尔街投行警告:日元套利交易是 “定时炸弹” | 日元套利交易是通过借入低息日元购买高收益资产赚取利差,但在高风险资产暴跌或日元升值时会迅速瓦解。BCA Research 警告,套利交易规模近年激增,可能重演 2008 年、2015 年和 2020 年崩盘场景。日元今年已升值逾 1%,市场 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275525998.md) | | 日股狂欢难掩债汇风波,“高市交易” 究竟是机会还是陷阱? | 日本股市在 “高市交易” 推动下创历史新高(日经 225 本周涨 5%),但债市与汇市平静背后暗藏 “高市陷阱”:若高市早苗大幅支出以兑现承诺,可能削弱日元、加剧通胀,最终反噬股市。尽管她承诺减税不涉及新债,但分析师质疑兑现能力。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276004435.md) | | 日本市场近期发生了什么? | 高盛认为,日本市场定价逻辑发生根本转变:自民党胜选后,市场开始定价日本退出超低实际利率体制,表现为日元走强、收益率曲线趋平。核心驱动力是投资者预期资产回流。但若日本央行政策不够鹰派,日元走弱等旧有逻辑可能回归,未来几周面临不确定性。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275980094.md) | | 日元日债稳住了吗? | 兴业王涵认为,日元日债震荡不仅是市场波动,更是全球秩序由单极向多极演变的缩影。随着美国战略收缩,日本从 “金融杠杆” 被推向地缘博弈的最前沿,避险光环随之褪色。底层定价逻辑已变,短期干预难敌大势,日本资产 “去安全化” 已成不可逆转的长期定 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275291221.md) | | 如何理解开年全球市场?“可负担性” 才是 2026 的总叙事:“主街” 要赢一次,AI 叙事巨变,日元是 “关键” | 美银 Michael Hartnett 团队认为,特朗普” 可负担性” 政治推动资金从” 华尔街精英阶层” 转向” 主街普通民众”:小盘价值股崛起,科技巨头承压;AI 叙事从” 惊叹” 转向” 致贫”,相关债务激增;日元与日股相关性转正预示 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275966935.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.