--- title: "According to \"The Big Bank\" research, Meituan's food delivery losses are expected to peak in the third quarter, with a target price lowered to 114 yuan, recommending a \"buy.\"" description: "HSBC's research report indicates that Meituan's food delivery business losses will peak in the third quarter, with a significant narrowing expected in the fourth quarter. Although the medium to long-t" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/260830427.md" published_at: "2025-10-13T04:20:52.000Z" --- # According to "The Big Bank" research, Meituan's food delivery losses are expected to peak in the third quarter, with a target price lowered to 114 yuan, recommending a "buy." > HSBC's research report indicates that Meituan's food delivery business losses will peak in the third quarter, with a significant narrowing expected in the fourth quarter. Although the medium to long-term operational efficiency is better than peers and the scale of losses remains controlled, the short-term loss forecast has been adjusted upward due to unexpected market investment intensity. It is expected that the operating loss of the food delivery business in the third quarter will reach RMB 20 billion, with a loss of RMB 2.9 per order. The target price has been lowered from RMB 125 to RMB 114, maintaining a "Buy" rating HSBC Research published a report, continuing to believe that Meituan (03690.HK) will see its food delivery business losses peak in the third quarter of this year and significantly narrow in the fourth quarter. Meituan is expected to maintain better operational efficiency than its peers in the medium to long term, keeping the scale of losses relatively controlled. However, considering that the overall market's investment efforts exceed expectations, the bank has raised its loss forecast, especially in the short term. The bank stated that due to major competitor Alibaba-W (09988.HK) focusing on maintaining long-term market share and scale in the Quick Commerce business, competition is expected to continue, causing Meituan's food delivery business to take longer to regain profitability. The bank estimates that the operating loss for the food delivery business in the third quarter will reach RMB 20 billion, which translates to a loss of RMB 2.9 per order. The bank has lowered its profit margin forecast for the total gross merchandise volume (GTV) of the food delivery business for 2025 to 2027 by 0.3 to 0.9 percentage points, reducing the target price from RMB 125 to RMB 114, while maintaining a "Buy" rating ### Related Stocks - [MPNGY.US - Meituan](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MPNGY.US.md) - [03690.HK - MEITUAN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03690.HK.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 美团:本集团预期 2025 年度录得亏损约人民币 233 亿元至人民币 243 亿元 | 美团预计 2025 年度将录得亏损约人民币 233 亿元至 243 亿元,而 2024 年度则录得溢利约 358.08 亿元。预期亏损主要源于核心本地商业分部的经营溢利从 2024 年的约 524.15 亿元转为 2025 年的约 68 亿 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275897016.md) | | 叮咚卖身,前置仓模式终结 | 叮咚买菜以 7.17 亿美元被美团收购,标志着前置仓模式的终结。尽管叮咚买菜在生鲜电商市场表现出色,保持盈利并运营超过 1000 个前置仓,但高昂的成本限制了其扩展。此次收购将使叮咚买菜获得美团的资金和流量支持,助力其全国市场的拓展。美团通 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275259644.md) | | 市场监管总局约谈阿里巴巴、抖音、百度、腾讯、京东、美团、淘宝闪购等平台企业 | 市场监管总局于 2 月 13 日约谈了阿里巴巴、抖音、百度、腾讯、京东、美团和淘宝闪购等平台企业,要求它们遵守相关法律法规,落实主体责任,规范促销行为,并杜绝 “内卷式” 竞争,以维护公平竞争市场环境,促进平台经济的创新与健康发展。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275975190.md) | | 低价、外卖、外部压力环绕下,百胜中国真找准了 “最佳平衡点”? | 开店还在提速 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274929623.md) | | 美团收购叮咚买菜的生鲜零售业务 | 美团通过其子公司 Two Hearts Investments Limited 收购叮咚的杂货零售业务,交易金额约为人民币 16.4479 亿元。交易完成后,叮咚将成为美团的间接全资子公司,其财务业绩将并入美团的集团财务报表。董事会认为此次 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274944684.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.