--- title: "Churchill Downs (CHDN): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness" description: "Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have declined 14% over the past three months and 31.2% year-to-date, despite a recent 4.36% gain. Analysts suggest the stock is undervalued, with a fair value of $137.45," type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/261760035.md" published_at: "2025-10-19T08:55:35.000Z" --- # Churchill Downs (CHDN): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness > Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have declined 14% over the past three months and 31.2% year-to-date, despite a recent 4.36% gain. Analysts suggest the stock is undervalued, with a fair value of $137.45, indicating potential upside. Strategic investments in premium experiences and digital engagement are expected to drive revenue growth. However, reliance on horse racing and rising costs pose risks to long-term growth. The article emphasizes the importance of understanding both the bullish narrative and potential challenges before making investment decisions. Churchill Downs (CHDN) has been on investors’ radar recently, as shares have shifted modestly over the past week. With the stock down about 14% in the past 3 months, many are watching closely for signs of stabilization. See our latest analysis for Churchill Downs. While Churchill Downs has faced a challenging stretch as its share price slipped 14% over the last three months and sits 31.2% lower year-to-date, recent sessions have brought some relief with a 4.36% gain in the latest trading day. Overall, momentum has faded lately and the one-year total shareholder return tells the story, down 34% despite strong long-term fundamentals. If you’re keeping an eye on shifting momentum, now’s a perfect time to branch out and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership With shares trading far below analyst targets and solid business growth in the background, the big question is whether Churchill Downs is now undervalued or if the market has already accounted for its future prospects. Could this be a real buying opportunity? ## Most Popular Narrative: 34% Undervalued With Churchill Downs' fair value set at $137.45, well above the recent closing price, analyst consensus paints a picture of potential upside despite recent share weakness. This sets the foundation for a narrative focused on strategic moves and growth levers that could reshape the company's future trajectory. > *Strategic reinvestment in premium Kentucky Derby experiences and selective venue upgrades, particularly expanding Derby Week with new hospitality offerings, international marketing, prime-time Oaks coverage, and enhanced digital content, should drive substantial step-function revenue growth, higher per-attendee pricing, and stronger sponsorship income in 2026 and subsequent years, supporting higher adjusted EBITDA and net margins.* Read the complete narrative. What’s behind this bullish narrative? Surging digital engagement, bold venue investments, and upgraded guest experiences are part of the untold story. Curious which future financial assumptions fuel analysts’ optimism and why they see Churchill Downs trading at this elevated fair value? Find out what could truly unlock a higher price. **Result: Fair Value of $137.45 (UNDERVALUED)** Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, continued reliance on horse racing, along with evolving consumer preferences and rising costs, could challenge Churchill Downs’ long-term revenue and margin growth if left unaddressed. Find out about the key risks to this Churchill Downs narrative. ## Build Your Own Churchill Downs Narrative If you have a different perspective or would rather dig into the numbers yourself, it only takes a few minutes to shape your own story. Do it your way A great starting point for your Churchill Downs research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. ## Looking for more investment ideas? Don’t limit yourself to just one opportunity. Unlock powerful trends and find your next winning pick. These hand-picked ideas can put you ahead of the crowd. - Boost your returns by tapping into the yield potential of these 18 dividend stocks with yields > 3% with robust payouts and stable performance records. - Capitalize on rapid innovation by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks making waves in artificial intelligence and transforming industries with every new breakthrough. - Take advantage of underpriced opportunities by spotting companies that analysts believe are trading below fair value thanks to these 878 undervalued stocks based on cash flows. *This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. **We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.** It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.* ### Related Stocks - [CHDN.US - Churchill Downs](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/CHDN.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | Principal Financial Group Inc. 出售了 16,485 股丘吉尔唐斯公司的股票 $CHDN | Principal Financial Group Inc. 在第三季度减少了对丘吉尔唐斯公司的持股比例，下降了 10.1%，出售了 16,485 股，剩余持有 147,516 股，价值 1,431 万美元。其他机构投资者也调整了他们的持仓 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275591035.md) | | 19:16 ET 仅在 FanDuel TV 上观看第 152 届肯塔基德比的所有预备赛 | FanDuel TV 将提供第 152 届肯塔基德比预选赛的独家报道，并为所有美国本土赛事提供 20 美元的退款特别优惠，直到 4 月 11 日。该网络将直播官方积分赛的报道，提供专家分析、采访和竞争者的最新动态。FanDuel 是唯一允许 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275677034.md) | | Waste Connections｜10-K：2025 财年营收 94.67 亿美元超过预期 | | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275745153.md) | | 估值 3500 亿美元！Anthropic 向员工回购股票 | Anthropic 正在筹划一项员工股票回购计划，估值至少达到 3500 亿美元，这一估值与 Anthropic 正在进行的融资讨论的估值一致。二级股票出售正成为初创公司越来越流行的做法，在竞争激烈的 AI 人才市场中为员工提供流动性。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274749014.md) | | 07:03 ET 随著 Kwanza Jones 于超级杯周期间扩大全国巡回路演，Culture In Motion™ 亦在北加州启动 | 随著 Kwanza Jones 在超级杯周期间扩大全国巡回路演，Culture In Motion™ 在北加州启动。这项由 Kwanza Jones 创办的全国艺术及赋权路演，旨在将以社区为本的文化平台 SUPERCHARGED® 和阿波罗 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275227177.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.