--- title: "Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation: Short-term depreciation pressure on the yen is expected to continue, while the dollar is likely to weaken in the medium to long term" description: "Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation's chief foreign exchange strategist Hirofumi Suzuki stated that the pressure for the yen to depreciate will continue in the short term, as the new government tends " type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/262022761.md" published_at: "2025-10-21T09:53:35.000Z" --- # Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation: Short-term depreciation pressure on the yen is expected to continue, while the dollar is likely to weaken in the medium to long term > Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation's chief foreign exchange strategist Hirofumi Suzuki stated that the pressure for the yen to depreciate will continue in the short term, as the new government tends to favor expansionary fiscal policies and loose monetary policies. However, in the medium to long term, the weakening force of the dollar will surpass that of the yen, and it is expected that the USD/JPY will gradually decline High City Saimi has been elected as Japan's first female Prime Minister. Hirofumi Suzuki, Chief Foreign Exchange Strategist and Head of Research at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, stated that in the short term, due to ongoing expectations for the High City government, there may continue to be downward pressure on the yen. The bank explained that this is because the government is perceived to be more inclined towards expansionary fiscal policy than its predecessor, and its monetary policy has been observed to lean towards easing. However, from a medium to long-term perspective, the new government faces budget deliberations before the end of the year, and policy implementation will be crucial. For the foreign exchange market, U.S. factors cannot be ignored. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in October, and the tendency for further rate cuts may continue until December. Additionally, the ongoing turmoil from the government shutdown keeps downward pressure on the dollar quite strong. Against this backdrop, the bank expects that the forces driving the dollar weaker in the medium to long term will outweigh those driving the yen weaker, leading to a gradual decline in the dollar/yen exchange rate ### Related Stocks - [SMFG.US - Sumitomo Mitsui Financial](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SMFG.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 日圓逢高必沽是基本策略|周顯 | 周顯認為,日圓將繼續下跌,建議在高位時賣出。他提到英國和日本的歷史,指出兩國的衰落是不可避免的,尤其是日本在經歷過輝煌後,未來將面臨衰退。他對日本文化的熱愛與對未來的擔憂形成對比,認為未來十到二十年內,日本的精緻文化將逐漸消失,呼籲人們抓緊 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275691465.md) | | 日幣匯率三連漲破 153!日本央行 4 月升息?未來會漲破 150 嗎? | 市場對日本央行升息的預期上升,推動日幣匯率連續三天上漲,突破 153。美元/日圓在 2 月 11 日跌至 152.8。日本執政聯盟在選舉中獲勝,首相高市早苗表示不會發行赤字債券,緩解了市場對財政擴張的擔憂。美國銀行預測日本央行將於 4 月升 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275727493.md) | | 流動性退潮延續:真正風暴來自美國 從日圓敍事到全球資產定價新錨|陳新燊 | 該文探討了全球市場流動性退潮的現象,特別是日本央行加息對全球資產定價的影響。作者回顧了 2026 年市場預判,指出日圓套利交易的退潮並非全球流動性緊張的唯一原因,強調市場的複雜性和多元性。日本債市的波動與本土投資者的資產再平衡有關,但並不必 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275242087.md) | | 印度尼西亞政府計劃通過債券銷售籌集 330 萬億印尼盾 | 印度尼西亞政府目標通過債券銷售籌集 330 萬億印尼盾 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276098962.md) | | 聯合利華印尼表示,全年銷售額和收入達到 31.943 萬億印尼盾 | 聯合利華印度尼西亞表示,財年銷售額和收入為 31.943 萬億印尼盾 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275684702.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.