---
title: "International oil prices may enter a downward cycle, with significant differentiation in the chemical industry sector"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/262124283.md"
description: "International oil prices may maintain a weak fluctuation trend in the fourth quarter, affected by OPEC+ production increases and the end of the consumption peak season. The chemical industry is currently in a cyclical low, with limited quarter-on-quarter improvement expected in the fourth quarter, but a slight increase compared to the same period last year. Sub-industry differentiation is intensifying, with agricultural chemicals, fluorochemicals, and electronic chemicals showing positive prospects due to policy support and demand growth, while titanium dioxide and vitamins face pressures from overcapacity and insufficient demand"
datetime: "2025-10-21T22:13:41.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/262124283.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/262124283.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/262124283.md)
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/262124283.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/262124283.md)


# International oil prices may enter a downward cycle, with significant differentiation in the chemical industry sector

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, the operational trajectory of the international crude oil and chemical industry is becoming increasingly clear. Interviews with multiple experts reveal that due to factors such as OPEC+'s continued production increase and the end of the peak season for crude oil consumption, oil prices may maintain a weak and volatile trend in the fourth quarter.

"The current cyclical low characteristics of the chemical industry are evident, as it is in the late stage of recession and will enter the early stage of recovery. It is expected that the quarter-on-quarter improvement in the fourth quarter will be limited, but there will be a slight increase compared to the same period last year, and the differentiation among sub-industries may further intensify," said Song Tao, chief analyst of the chemical industry at Shenwan Hongyuan Securities.

Specifically, sectors such as agrochemicals, fluorochemicals, and electronic chemicals are expected to continue to rise due to policy support and demand growth; while sectors like titanium dioxide and vitamins still face pressure from capacity saturation and insufficient demand support

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