--- title: "The U.S. sanctions on Russian oil companies disrupt market expectations, and hedge funds miss out on the rising market due to massive short positions" description: "U.S. sanctions against Russian oil companies have disrupted market expectations, and hedge funds holding record short positions in Brent crude oil failed to capitalize on the rising oil prices. Accord" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/262703776.md" published_at: "2025-10-25T03:17:03.000Z" --- # The U.S. sanctions on Russian oil companies disrupt market expectations, and hedge funds miss out on the rising market due to massive short positions > U.S. sanctions against Russian oil companies have disrupted market expectations, and hedge funds holding record short positions in Brent crude oil failed to capitalize on the rising oil prices. According to data, fund managers' short positions increased to 197,868 contracts, a historic high. The U.S. government's sanctions unexpectedly supported oil prices, which are expected to lead to a reduction of up to 600,000 barrels per day in Russian crude oil production According to the Zhitong Finance APP, hedge funds holding record short positions in Brent crude oil failed to capitalize on this week's rise in oil prices. Data from ICE Futures Europe shows that in the week ending October 21, fund managers increased their short positions in Brent crude oil, the global benchmark price, by 40,233 contracts to 197,868 contracts, setting a new historical high. Previously, increasing evidence indicated that the long-awaited oversupply of crude oil was finally taking shape, such as the continuous expansion of offshore crude oil inventories, which also prompted hedge funds to adopt an extremely bearish stance. However, the U.S. government's decision to sanction two major Russian oil giants—Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC—in response to the situation in Ukraine completely overturned market expectations. This decree surprised investors, who generally believed that the U.S. government would avoid taking measures that would drive up crude oil futures prices. Russia's crude oil exports to major buyers like India and China have declined, which may alleviate the impact of the oversupply and provide support for oil prices. According to Rystad Energy AS, these sanctions could lead to a reduction of up to 600,000 barrels per day in Russian crude oil production. Currently, the U.S. government shutdown has led to a suspension of the weekly U.S. crude oil inventory report. In this context, the trading data released by the Intercontinental Exchange on Friday is particularly important for traders trying to gauge market sentiment. As of September, the bullish positions held by fund managers in U.S. crude oil have fallen to historical lows, indicating that many investors are currently facing losses in their positions ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 原油市场转折之年:过剩压力如乌云压顶 油价明年将迎寒冬还是曙光? | 华尔街各大机构预测 2026 年石油市场将出现供应过剩,油价中枢将显著下移。2025 年布伦特原油价格剧烈震荡,全年大概率以近两成的年度跌幅收官。地缘政治事件和供应端扩张是主要影响因素。OPEC+ 减产或需求回暖可能成为油价的变数。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/270566307.md) | | 地缘局势前景难明 油价横盘震荡等待指引 | 国际原油价格在本周(2.5-2.11)整体呈现区间震荡,WTI 均价为 63.96 美元/桶,较前一周下跌 0.27 美元(-0.41%)。中东地缘局势的不确定性及投资者对美伊谈判的观望情绪是影响油价的关键因素。美国收紧对伊朗的制裁引发市场 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275842526.md) | | 美国拟对俄罗斯钯金征收 133% 初步反倾销税 | 美国商务部初步支持对俄罗斯进口钯金征收近 133% 的反倾销税,最终裁定将在今年晚些时候作出。Sibanye Stillwater Ltd. 提出请愿,称俄罗斯钯金以低于公平价值的价格出售,损害美国本土生产商。Sibanye 首席执行官表示 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275952117.md) | | 供应激增、需求增长放缓,2025 年全球原油库存增幅创 2020 年以来新高 | 国际能源署(IEA)表示,随着供应激增、需求增长放缓,2025 年全球原油库存积累速度为 2020 年以来最快。全年库存增加 4.77 亿桶,OECD 国家库存四年来首次超过五年均值。IEA 下调今年石油需求增长预期,并预计 2026 年日 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275798585.md) | | 为什么在这六个城市汽油价格突然下降了 25 美分 | 这些关键市场的油价正在下跌。原因如下 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275989108.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.