--- title: "Friedrich: Downgraded ZTE's target price to HKD 25.71, third-quarter performance far below expectations" description: "Credit Suisse released a research report stating that ZTE's valuation is too high, maintaining a \"Underperform\" rating. After the stock price rose by 100%, ZTE is now trading at a forecasted price-to-" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/263474856.md" published_at: "2025-10-30T09:40:05.000Z" --- # Friedrich: Downgraded ZTE's target price to HKD 25.71, third-quarter performance far below expectations > Credit Suisse released a research report stating that ZTE's valuation is too high, maintaining a "Underperform" rating. After the stock price rose by 100%, ZTE is now trading at a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 24 times for 2025, corresponding to a compound annual growth rate of negative 6.5% in earnings per share. The bank's net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 are 35% and 48% lower than market consensus, respectively. The bank believes there is a risk of valuation downgrades as investors' optimistic expectations for new businesses are difficult to realize. The target price has been lowered from HKD 27.27 to HKD 25.71. Credit Suisse pointed out that ZTE reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 5%, a core operating profit decline of 115%, and a net profit decline of 88% for the third quarter of 2025, significantly below market expectations. The gross margin fell from 40% to 26% year-on-year, leading to a 33% decline in gross profit. This was due to delays in the delivery of telecommunications equipment, causing some operators' revenues to be deferred from the third quarter to the fourth quarter, as well as weak telecommunications demand. Therefore, the bank expects an improvement in gross margin in the fourth quarter. However, overall, as Chinese telecommunications companies further cut capital expenditures, high-margin telecommunications revenues may see a double-digit decline in 2025. The bank does not see new business areas (servers, switches) providing sufficient offset According to the Zhitong Finance APP, Jefferies has released a research report stating that ZTE Corporation (00763) is overvalued and maintains a "underperform" rating. After a 100% increase in stock price, ZTE is now trading at a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 24 times for 2025, corresponding to a compound annual growth rate of earnings per share of -6.5%. The bank's net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 are 35% and 48% lower than market consensus, respectively. The bank believes there is a risk of valuation downgrade as investors' optimistic expectations for new businesses are difficult to realize. The target price has been lowered from HKD 27.27 to HKD 25.71. Jefferies pointed out that ZTE's revenue, core operating profit, and net profit for the third quarter of 2025 increased by 5%, but decreased by 115% and 88% year-on-year, respectively, significantly below market expectations. The gross profit margin fell from 40% to 26% year-on-year, resulting in a 33% decline in gross profit. This was due to delays in the delivery of telecommunications equipment, causing some operators' revenues to be deferred from the third quarter to the fourth quarter, as well as weak telecommunications demand. Therefore, the bank expects the gross profit margin to improve in the fourth quarter. However, overall, as Chinese telecommunications companies further cut capital expenditures, high-margin telecommunications revenues may see a double-digit decline in 2025. The bank does not see new business areas (servers, switches) providing sufficient offset ### Related Stocks - [000063.CN - ZTE](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/000063.CN.md) - [00763.HK - ZTE](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/00763.HK.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 「OS 产业报告」解读:国产操作系统的技术突围与生态跃迁之路 | 在数字化转型与国产化替代的背景下,国产操作系统正快速发展。2025 龙蜥操作系统大会发布的《国产服务器操作系统发展报告(2025)》预测,未来三年国产 OS 的市场规模将突破 300 亿元,国产化率将从 35% 升至 65%。报告分析了国产 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/271592118.md) | | 早盘趋势|中兴通讯缩量回落,盘中资金异动要变天? | 中兴通讯(763.HK)近期股价延续调整态势,日线级别反弹无力,连续缩量回落,K 线呈小幅阴线排列。MACD 指标保持死叉,短线空头结构清晰。成交量不断萎缩,说明整体市场人气低迷,场内资金多选择观望或等待。 基本面方面,中兴通讯自去年以来通 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274496119.md) | | 豆包的朋友又多了一个? | 字节跳动联合中兴通讯推出的 “豆包手机” 引发了行业对下一代超级入口的争夺。vivo、联想、传音等厂商成为字节合作目标。联想计划在 CES 发布 “AI 超级智能体”,对标豆包手机助手,并推动天禧 AI 生态。联想与字节保持紧密合作,但 A | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/270892245.md) | | 早盘趋势|中兴通讯缩量回落,盘中资金异动要变天? | 中兴通讯(763.HK)近期股价延续调整态势,日线级别反弹无力,连续缩量回落,K 线呈小幅阴线排列。MACD 指标保持死叉,短线空头结构清晰。成交量不断萎缩,说明整体市场人气低迷,场内资金多选择观望或等待。 基本面方面,中兴通讯自去年以来通 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274493510.md) | | 早盘趋势|中兴通讯缩量回落,盘中资金异动要变天? | 中兴通讯(763.HK)近期股价延续调整态势,日线级别反弹无力,连续缩量回落,K 线呈小幅阴线排列。MACD 指标保持死叉,短线空头结构清晰。成交量不断萎缩,说明整体市场人气低迷,场内资金多选择观望或等待。 基本面方面,中兴通讯自去年以来通 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274494534.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.