---
title: "Global stock market turmoil leads funds to buy U.S. Treasuries; analysts say 10-year yield may drop to 3.5%"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/264360446.md"
description: "Global stock market turmoil has triggered risk-averse sentiment, with analysts predicting that the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond may fall to between 3.5% and 3.8%. TD Securities expects the yield to drop to 3.50% by the end of 2026, while DBS Bank believes that if the stock market continues to decline, the yield could fall as low as 3.8%. Overvaluation of technology stocks has put pressure on global stock indices, with senior executives at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs warning that stock prices may decline further, revealing potential in the bond market"
datetime: "2025-11-05T06:53:45.000Z"
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  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/264360446.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/264360446.md)
---

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# Global stock market turmoil leads funds to buy U.S. Treasuries; analysts say 10-year yield may drop to 3.5%

The risk aversion triggered by the global stock market sell-off has led analysts to discuss how low U.S. Treasury yields might fall. TD Securities predicts that by the end of 2026, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury will drop to 3.50%; DBS Bank estimates that if the stock market continues to decline, this benchmark yield could fall to a minimum of 3.8%, currently around 4.07%. The turbulence related to overvalued tech stocks has put pressure on global stock indices, making the outlook for U.S. Treasuries, the world's safest investment, increasingly attractive. Wall Street executives such as Ted Pick from Morgan Stanley and David Solomon from Goldman Sachs have warned that stock prices may decline further, highlighting the potential for a new uptrend in the $73 trillion bond market. (Bloomberg)

### Related Stocks

- [Morgan Stanley (MS.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MS.US.md)
- [The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GS.US.md)

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