---
title: "The New York Fed survey shows that U.S. consumer inflation expectations remain stable"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/268985400.md"
description: "The survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows that U.S. consumer inflation expectations remained stable in November, with a one-year inflation expectation of 3.2% and three- and five-year expectations of 3%. The expected probability of unemployment has dropped to 13.8%, the lowest this year. Consumers are more optimistic about the labor market, but more households are experiencing worsening financial conditions. The market expects the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to address labor market risks"
datetime: "2025-12-08T18:40:53.000Z"
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  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/268985400.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/268985400.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/268985400.md)
---

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# The New York Fed survey shows that U.S. consumer inflation expectations remain stable

According to a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S. consumer inflation expectations remained stable in November, while views on employment prospects improved.

The median results of the monthly consumer expectations survey released by the New York Federal Reserve on Monday showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next year remained essentially unchanged at 3.2% last month; expectations for inflation over the next three and five years remained at 3%. Consumers' expectations for the likelihood of unemployment fell to 13.8%, the lowest level this year.

The market widely expects Federal Reserve officials to cut the benchmark interest rate for the third consecutive time at the conclusion of their two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, in response to the risks of a deteriorating labor market. However, some officials have also expressed concerns that tariffs could lead to long-term price increases and are closely monitoring inflation expectations.

The New York Fed's survey showed that in November, consumers' optimism about the labor market was generally higher than a month ago, as they lowered the likelihood of rising unemployment in the next year and believed that if unemployed, the chances of finding a new job were greater.

However, more households reported a deterioration in their personal financial situation. The proportion of respondents indicating that their current financial situation is worse than a year ago rose to 39%, the highest level in two years

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