
Ferguson (FERG) Boosts Dividend and Buybacks: Prudent Capital Returns or Understated Growth Ambition?

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Ferguson Enterprises reported strong Q1 2025 results, increased its dividend to $0.89, completed a $208.75 million share repurchase, and updated guidance to 5% net sales growth. The company is expanding through acquisitions and focusing on non-residential construction, waterworks, and HVAC distribution. Despite residential and HVAC demand challenges, Ferguson projects $36.5 billion revenue and $2.4 billion earnings by 2028, with a fair value estimate of $259.59, indicating a 16% upside. Investors should consider ongoing residential softness as a potential risk.
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