<p>Bettors on <strong>Kalshi</strong>, a federally regulated prediction platform, have shared that there's more than a 70% chance of <strong>Tesla Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA) achieving Unsupervised autonomy.</p>



<h2>Kalshi First Saw A 54% Chance</h2>



<p>In a post on the social media platform X on Sunday, the official handle for the platform shared that there was a &#34;54% chance Tesla releases “unsupervised” self-driving in the next 5 months.&#34;</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div>
<blockquote><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING: 54% chance Tesla releases &#34;unsupervised&#34; self-driving in the next 5 months<br/><br/>Has Tesla solved self-driving? pic.twitter.com/iC4cPNCvdV</p>— Kalshi (@Kalshi) December 14, 2025</blockquote>
</div></figure>



<p>However, at the time of writing this article, the platform showcases a 71% chance of Tesla achieving Unsupervised FSD before April 2026. Bettors have also predicted a 56% chance of unsupervised driverless tech before March 2026, while 46% bet on FSD's release before February 2026.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img width="1024" height="564" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/14234915/KALSHI-TESLA-1024x564.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/14234915/KALSHI-TESLA-1024x564.jpg"/></figure>



<p><em>Source: Kalshi</em></p>



<h2>What's Driving The Bettors' Bullish Stance</h2>



<p>The stance comes as Tesla recently shared cryptic posts on the social media platform X on Sunday. &#34;The fleet will wake up via over-the-air software update,&#34; the company said, teasing a future update that could enable unsupervised autonomous driving for Tesla vehicles.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div>
<blockquote><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The fleet will wake up via over-the-air software update</p>— Tesla (@Tesla) December 14, 2025</blockquote>
</div></figure>



<p>The company also shared another post on Sunday, &#34;Slowly, then all at once,&#34; it said.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div>
<blockquote><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Slowly, then all at once</p>— Tesla (@Tesla) December 15, 2025</blockquote>
</div></figure>



<h2>Unsupervised FSD Testing Underway</h2>



<p>The posts follow Tesla CEO <strong>Elon Musk</strong>'s response to a video that surfaced online, showcasing a Tesla Model Y Robotaxi being driven autonomously in Austin. Musk confirmed that driverless testing was underway.</p>



<p>The testing could give Tesla a major boost to align with Musk's end-of-the-year timeline for driverless Robotaxis in Austin. Currently, the sector is dominated by <strong>Alphabet Inc.</strong>'s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) autonomous cab service <strong>Waymo</strong>, which recently hit the 14 million annual Robotaxi rides milestone.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"></figure>



<p>Tesla scores well on the Momentum metric, while offering satisfactory Growth and Quality, but poor Value. Tesla also has a favourable price trend in the Medium and Long term. For more such insights, sign up for Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings today!</p>



<p><strong>Price Action</strong>: TSLA surged 2.70% to $458.96 at Market close on Friday, and surged 0.73% to $462.32 during the After-hours session, according to Benzinga Pro data.</p>



<p><em>Check out more of Benzinga's Future Of Mobility coverage by</em> following this link.</p>



<p><strong>Read Next:</strong></p>



<ul>
<li>Exclusive: Personal Injury Attorney John Carpenter Says Tesla FSD Prone To ‘Mistakes,' Slams Ted Cruz's Safety Challenge</li>
</ul>



<p><em>Photo courtesy: Shutterstock</em></p>

TSLA

TSDD

TSLL

TSLQ

09366

07766

07366

TSLR

<p>Bettors on Kalshi predict over a 70% chance of Tesla achieving unsupervised autonomy before April 2026. This follows cryptic posts from Tesla hinting at an over-the-air update for autonomous driving. CEO Elon Musk confirmed driverless testing is underway. Tesla's stock surged 2.70% to $458.96 at market close on Friday and 0.73% to $462.32 after hours.</p>

- Bettors on Kalshi predict a 71% chance of Tesla achieving unsupervised autonomy by April 2026, up from an earlier 54% estimate.  
- This optimism follows Tesla's recent social media posts hinting at an upcoming software update that could enable unsupervised driving, alongside confirmation from CEO Elon Musk about ongoing driverless testing.  
- Tesla's stock rose 2.70% to $458.96 at market close, reflecting positive investor sentiment amid competition from Waymo's established autonomous cab service.  

benzinga_article

Tesla

GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF

Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares

AXS TSLA Bear Daily ETF

XI2CSOPTSLA-U

XL2CSOPTSLA

XI2CSOPTSLA

GraniteShares 2x Long TSLA Daily ETF

Elon Musk's Tesla To Solve Unsupervised Autonomy? Prediction Platform Kalshi Sees More Than 70% Chance Before April 2026