---
title: "On Polymarket, the odds of betting on gold in the \"Gold or ETH: Which will rise to $5,000 first?\" poll are currently at 68%."
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/272055609.md"
description: "According to Polymarket, nearly $840,000 has been wagered on whether gold or ETH will reach $5,000 first. The probability of gold reaching $5,000 first is currently reported as 68%, with a deadline of June 30, 2026. If neither reaches $5,000 by then, the bets will be settled at a 50%:50% ratio. The gold price is referenced to the COMEX gold futures contract; the ETH price is referenced to the Binance ETH/USDT price."
datetime: "2026-01-09T09:45:00.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/272055609.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/272055609.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/272055609.md)
---

# On Polymarket, the odds of betting on gold in the "Gold or ETH: Which will rise to $5,000 first?" poll are currently at 68%.

According to Polymarket, nearly $840,000 has been wagered on whether gold or ETH will reach $5,000 first. The probability of gold reaching $5,000 first is currently reported as 68%, with a deadline of June 30, 2026. If neither reaches $5,000 by then, the bets will be settled at a 50%:50% ratio. The gold price is referenced to the COMEX gold futures contract; the ETH price is referenced to the Binance ETH/USDT price.

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