--- title: "TSMC Blowout Q4 Starts A Chain Reaction — CoreWeave, Nebius Lead The FOMO Flood" description: "TSMC's impressive Q4 earnings report signals strong and growing AI demand, with a 35% net profit increase. This validates the business models of neocloud providers like CoreWeave and Nebius, ensuring " type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/272745251.md" published_at: "2026-01-15T20:03:56.000Z" --- # TSMC Blowout Q4 Starts A Chain Reaction — CoreWeave, Nebius Lead The FOMO Flood > TSMC's impressive Q4 earnings report signals strong and growing AI demand, with a 35% net profit increase. This validates the business models of neocloud providers like CoreWeave and Nebius, ensuring they can meet their multibillion-dollar backlogs. TSMC's increased capex for 2026 indicates ongoing long-term orders for AI chips, alleviating fears of an AI bubble. With a gross margin of 62.3%, TSMC demonstrates significant profitability, suggesting that supply, not demand, is the primary growth constraint for CoreWeave and Nebius. **Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.** (NYSE:TSM) posted a blowout Q4 earnings report on Thursday and sent a clear signal to the markets: AI demand is strong and growing. As the exclusive manufacturer of **NVIDIA Corp.** (NASDAQ:NVDA) GPUs, TSMC reported a 35% jump in net profit, crushing analyst estimates and proving that the AI gold rush is still on.  - *CRWV stock is climbing. See the chart and price action here.*  ## The Neocloud Lifeline For neocloud providers like **CoreWeave, Inc.** (NASDAQ:CRWV) and **Nebius Group N.V.** (NASDAQ:NBIS), TSMC's results are a validation of their business model—to secure massive allocations of Nvidia's Blackwell and upcoming Rubin architectures (manufactured on TSMC's 3nm and 2nm nodes) to provide the specialized compute power that hyperscalers often lack. Because their entire value proposition rests on the availability of cutting-edge AI chips, the blockbuster quarter and forward guidance from TSMC alleviates two major risks: - **Supply Security:** Record manufacturing yields and capacity expansion mean Coreweave and Nebius can fulfill their multibillion-dollar backlogs.  - **Demand Strength:** When the world's largest foundry raises its 2026 capex to between $52 billion and $56 billion, it signals that tech companies are still placing massive, long-term orders for AI chips. ### **Bursting The “AI Bubble” Narrative** The AI bubble fears have been largely quieted by TSMC’s quarterly report and the sheer scale of margins. With a gross margin of 62.3%, TSMC proved that the industry is not just growing, but doing so with immense profitability.  Taiwan Semiconductor **CEO C.C. Wei'**s declaration that “AI is real” is backed by the fact that its High-Performance Computing (HPC) segment accounts for 55% of total revenue.  The takeaway for CoreWeave and Nebius investors is that the primary constraint on their growth is supply, not demand.  TSMC's record-breaking production capacity suggests that neocloud providers will have the consistent access to chips necessary to service their expanding backlogs through 2026. *Photo: Shutterstock* ### Related Stocks - [SOXL.US - Direxion Semicon Bull 3X](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SOXL.US.md) - [TSM.US - Taiwan Semiconductor](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TSM.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 甲骨文的最悲观假设:若 AI 数据中心合同全部终止 | 伯恩斯坦极端压力测试显示,即便 OpenAI 等 AI 客户完全撤单,甲骨文仅凭核心数据库与企业云业务仍可支撑每股 137 美元估值,较当前股价下行空间仅 15%,安全边际清晰。研报同时拆解市场担忧:2480 亿美元租赁合同年度风险敞口仅 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275745631.md) | | 英伟达被撬墙角:OpenAI 首次发布 Cerebras 芯片支持模型 | OpenAI 周四发布的 GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark 专为实时编码设计,是 OpenAI 最新代码自动化软件 Codex 的精简版,也是 OpenAI 上月与 Cerebras 签署超 100 亿美元协议后的首个成果。OpenA | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275817804.md) | | Stratechery 创始人深度访谈:预警 2029 年大规模 “芯片荒”,SaaS 模式将终结,广告才是 AI 终极商业闭环 | Ben Thompson 警告,台积电保守扩产或致 2029 年全球芯片短缺,巨头需分担建厂风险。在对巨头点评中,他认为 Meta 执行力最佳;谷歌混乱但有韧性;亚马逊自研芯片策略面临风险。展望未来,他指出在数字世界高度发达后,“现场” 体 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276001569.md) | | 新预算案积极发展 AI 和先进制造 分析:半导体股有望受益 \| 联合早报网 | 新加坡最新财政预算案强调发展人工智能和先进制造,计划在纬壹建立 AI 园区以促进创新。分析师认为,这将推动本地半导体和先进制造股价上涨。政府还将为 AI 相关支出提供 400% 税额扣除,预计将吸引更多企业投资。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276006533.md) | | 期权热点|上周五 SOXL 大涨 15%,部分看涨期权飙升 230% | 美东时间 02 月 06 日,半导体 3 倍做多 - Direxion 期权总成交 267265 张,看涨期权占比 45%,看跌期权占比 54%。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275263739.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.