---
title: "Morning Trend | GUOTAI JUNAN I's main force hedges, can the support at 2.64 yuan hold?"
description: "After the market closed on January 30, Guotai Junan International (1788.HK) experienced a stalemate in market sentiment, with major funds choosing to remain on the sidelines. Recently, the Hong Kong s"
type: "news"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/274277691.md"
published_at: "2026-02-02T01:00:00.000Z"
---

# Morning Trend | GUOTAI JUNAN I's main force hedges, can the support at 2.64 yuan hold?

> After the market closed on January 30, Guotai Junan International (1788.HK) experienced a stalemate in market sentiment, with major funds choosing to remain on the sidelines. Recently, the Hong Kong stock brokerage sector has continued to weaken, and the several waves of rebounds constructed at the beginning of the year have not been effectively sustained. Market liquidity continues to contract, and traditional funds prefer to avoid risk sectors. HKD 2.64 has become a critical point of focus during trading, with many short-term traders watching to see if a new defensive line will form here. Currently, there are no substantial positive factors for the brokerage sector, and international major banks have been continuously downgrading industry ratings, leading to overall low market sentiment in Hong Kong stocks. Coupled with continuous outflows of foreign capital, the "buying pressure" has significantly decreased. During trading, there is often only small-scale volume when prices approach key levels, and at this time, the downward momentum is usually stronger. 

From a technical perspective, the daily structure remains under bearish control, with the MACD crossing below the zero line, and short-term moving averages suppressing the K-line to continue its downward search for a bottom. The intraday capital flow is primarily outflow, with occasional technical corrections that are difficult to reverse the downward trend. Right-side traders are focused on whether the main force will launch a counterattack at critical positions, which will be key for subsequent operations. There is considerable short-term risk, especially if HKD 2.64 is broken with increased volume, which could trigger a new round of panic in the market. Before any obvious positive factors emerge, it is recommended to dynamically track the policy environment and signals of major fund repositioning, being cautious of sudden negative news that could invalidate technical signals. Investors should pay close attention to intraday anomalies and marginal changes in regulatory and industry policies, combining technical, volume-price, and capital dynamic signals for risk control, and avoid blindly chasing rebounds

After the market close on January 30, Guotai Junan International (1788.HK) saw a stalemate in market sentiment, with major funds choosing to remain on the sidelines. Recently, the Hong Kong stock brokerage sector has continued to weaken, and the several waves of rebounds constructed at the beginning of the year have not been effectively sustained. Market liquidity continues to shrink, and traditional funds prefer to avoid risk sectors. HKD 2.64 has become a critical point of focus during trading, with many short-term traders watching to see if a new defensive line will form here.

Currently, there are no substantial positive factors for the brokerage sector, and international major banks have been continuously downgrading the industry ratings, leading to overall low market sentiment in Hong Kong stocks. Coupled with continuous outflows of foreign capital, the "buying pressure" has significantly decreased. During trading, there is often only small-scale volume when prices approach key levels, and at this time, the downward momentum is usually stronger.

From a technical perspective, the daily structure remains under bearish control, with the MACD crossing below the zero line, and short-term moving averages suppressing the K-line to continue downward seeking a bottom. The intraday capital flow is primarily outflow, with occasional technical recoveries that are difficult to reverse the downward trend. Right-side traders are focused on whether the main funds will launch a counterattack at critical positions, which will be key for subsequent operations.

There is considerable short-term risk, especially if HKD 2.64 is broken with increased volume, which could trigger a new round of panic in the market. Before any obvious positive news emerges, it is advisable to dynamically track the policy environment and signals of major fund adjustments, being cautious of sudden negative news that could invalidate technical signals.

Investors should pay close attention to intraday fluctuations as well as marginal changes in regulations and industry policies, combining technical, volume-price, and capital dynamic signals for risk control, and avoid blindly chasing rebounds

### Related Stocks

- [02611.HK - GTHT](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/02611.HK.md)
- [01788.HK - GUOTAI JUNAN I](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/01788.HK.md)

## Related News & Research

| Title | Description | URL |
|-------|-------------|-----|
| 早盤趨勢｜國泰君安國際主力避險，2.64 元支撐能否挺住？ | 國泰君安國際（1788.HK）1 月 30 日收盤後市場氣氛僵持，主力資金選擇觀望為主。近期港股券商板塊持續走弱，年初構建的幾波反彈未能有效延續，市場流動性持續收縮，傳統資金寧可迴避風險板塊。2.64 元成為盤中關注的一個臨界點，很多短線交 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274278800.md) |
| 早盤趨勢｜國泰君安國際主力避險，2.64 元支撐能否挺住？ | 國泰君安國際（1788.HK）1 月 30 日收盤後市場氣氛僵持，主力資金選擇觀望為主。近期港股券商板塊持續走弱，年初構建的幾波反彈未能有效延續，市場流動性持續收縮，傳統資金寧可迴避風險板塊。2.64 元成為盤中關注的一個臨界點，很多短線交 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274282245.md) |
| 早盤趨勢｜國泰君安國際主力避險，2.64 元支撐能否挺住？ | 國泰君安國際（1788.HK）1 月 30 日收盤後市場氣氛僵持，主力資金選擇觀望為主。近期港股券商板塊持續走弱，年初構建的幾波反彈未能有效延續，市場流動性持續收縮，傳統資金寧可迴避風險板塊。2.64 元成為盤中關注的一個臨界點，很多短線交 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274280649.md) |
| 早盤趨勢｜國泰君安國際主力避險，2.64 元支撐能否挺住？ | 國泰君安國際（1788.HK）1 月 30 日收盤後市場氣氛僵持，主力資金選擇觀望為主。近期港股券商板塊持續走弱，年初構建的幾波反彈未能有效延續，市場流動性持續收縮，傳統資金寧可迴避風險板塊。2.64 元成為盤中關注的一個臨界點，很多短線交 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274276846.md) |
| 早盤趨勢｜國泰君安國際主力避險，2.64 元支撐能否挺住？ | 國泰君安國際（1788.HK）1 月 30 日收盤後市場氣氛僵持，主力資金選擇觀望為主。近期港股券商板塊持續走弱，年初構建的幾波反彈未能有效延續，市場流動性持續收縮，傳統資金寧可迴避風險板塊。2.64 元成為盤中關注的一個臨界點，很多短線交 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274287468.md) |

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> **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.