On January 30, according to Jin10, the CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates a 15.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March, with an 84.7% chance of maintaining the current rate. By April, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases to 29.7%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 67.2%, and a 50 basis point cut stands at 3.2%. By June, the probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 48.3%, with a 33.7% chance of no change and a 16.4% likelihood of a 50 basis point reduction.
