---
title: "Federal Reserve Interest Rate Projections for March to June"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/274309896.md"
description: "The CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates varying probabilities for Federal Reserve interest rate changes from March to June. As of January 30, there is a 15.3% chance of a 25 basis point cut by March, with an 84.7% likelihood of rates remaining unchanged. By April, the probability of a 25 basis point cut increases to 29.7%, while the chance of no change is 67.2%. By June, the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut rises to 48.3%, with a 33.7% chance of no change and a 16.4% chance of a 50 basis point reduction."
datetime: "2026-01-30T12:27:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/274309896.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/274309896.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/274309896.md)
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/274309896.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/274309896.md)


# Federal Reserve Interest Rate Projections for March to June

On January 30, according to Jin10, the CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates a 15.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March, with an 84.7% chance of maintaining the current rate. By April, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases to 29.7%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 67.2%, and a 50 basis point cut stands at 3.2%. By June, the probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 48.3%, with a 33.7% chance of no change and a 16.4% likelihood of a 50 basis point reduction.

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