---
title: "FACTBOX-Macquarie hikes gold forecasts for 2026"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/275013098.md"
datetime: "2026-02-05T17:46:29.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/275013098.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275013098.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275013098.md)
---

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# FACTBOX-Macquarie hikes gold forecasts for 2026

Feb 5 (Reuters) - Macquarie Group raised its average gold price forecasts for the first- and second-quarter and full-year on Thursday, but said it would wait to revise longer-term expectations due to a disconnect between market fundamentals and extreme volatility.

The bank lifted its average first-quarter 2026 gold forecast to $4,590 an ounce, up from $4,300 previously and hiked its second-quarter estimate to $4,300 from $4,200.

It raised its average 2026 gold price forecast to $4,323 per ounce, compared with an earlier estimate of $4,225.

Spot gold was currently down 1.8% at $4,875.71 per ounce. On January 30, the yellow metal logged its steepest daily fall since 1983 a day after hitting a record $5,994.82, following U.S. President Donald Trump’s naming of Kevin Warsh as his choice for Federal Reserve chair.

Prices have gained about 13% so far this year after rallying more than 64% in 2025.

Following is a list of analysts’ latest gold price forecasts (in $ per ounce):

Brokerage/Agen Annual Price Targets Forecast as

cy Price of

Forecast

2026

Expects prices

Macquarie $4,323 to average $4,590 in first February 5,

Group quarter and $4,300 in 2026

second quarter

Wells Fargo Expects $6,100-$6,300 by February 4,

Investment end of 2026 2026

Institute\*

J.P. Morgan $6,300 Expects prices reaching February 2,

$6,300 by 4Q26 2026

UBS - Raises target to $6,200 for January 29,

March, 2026

June, and September 2026

Deutsche Bank $5,500 $6,000 in 2026 January 26,

2026

Societe - $6,000 by the end of 2026 January 26,

Generale 2026

Morgan Stanley $4,600 Bull case is $5,700 for January 23,

second half of 2026 2026

Goldman Sachs - $5,400 by December 2026 January 22,

2026

Citi Research $5,000 Raises 0-3 month price January 13,

target to $5,000 2026

HSBC $4,587 $4,450 by year-end 2026 January 8,

2026

ANZ $4,445 $4,400 by year-end and October 16,

$4,600 by June 2026 2025

Bank of $4,438 2026 gold outlook raised to October 13,

America $5,000 2025

Standard $4,488 - October 13,

Chartered 2025

Commerzbank $4,900 $4,800 by mid-2026 January 13,

2026

\*end-of-period forecasts

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