---
title: "CME FedWatch Tool: Low Probability of Fed Rate Cut in March"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/275815611.md"
description: "The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 7.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March. According to Jin10, there is a 92.2% likelihood that the Fed will maintain current interest rates. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut rises to 25.3%, with a 73.1% chance of rates remaining unchanged and a 1.6% probability of a 50 basis point cut. By June, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases to 49.9%."
datetime: "2026-02-12T22:01:26.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/275815611.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/275815611.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275815611.md)
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/275815611.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275815611.md)


# CME FedWatch Tool: Low Probability of Fed Rate Cut in March

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 7.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March. According to Jin10, there is a 92.2% likelihood that the Fed will maintain current interest rates. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut rises to 25.3%, with a 73.1% chance of rates remaining unchanged and a 1.6% probability of a 50 basis point cut. By June, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases to 49.9%.

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