--- title: "Invesco and Kameniak short U.S. Treasuries, pessimistic about the Federal Reserve's rate cut space" description: "Invesco and Carmignac's portfolio managers are shorting U.S. Treasuries, believing that the resilience of the U.S. economy may lead to a failure to cut interest rates. The stronger-than-expected job g" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/276389838.md" published_at: "2026-02-19T22:47:38.000Z" --- # Invesco and Kameniak short U.S. Treasuries, pessimistic about the Federal Reserve's rate cut space > Invesco and Carmignac's portfolio managers are shorting U.S. Treasuries, believing that the resilience of the U.S. economy may lead to a failure to cut interest rates. The stronger-than-expected job growth in January, corporate investment in artificial intelligence, and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts indicate that the economy is too strong for significant easing. Although some investors still expect rate cuts, institutions like BNP Paribas have expressed skepticism, warning that if rate cuts do not occur as expected, U.S. Treasury prices will plummet Invesco Ltd. and Carmignac's portfolio managers are betting against U.S. Treasuries, arguing that the resilience of the U.S. economy may lead to a failure to cut interest rates. The managers pointed out that the U.S. job growth in January exceeded expectations, companies are heavily investing in artificial intelligence (AI), and Federal Reserve policymakers are cautious about rate cuts, all indicating that the economy is too strong for the Fed to implement significant easing. While some investors still expect rate cuts, other institutions, including BNP Paribas, are skeptical and warn that if rate cuts do not materialize as expected, U.S. Treasury prices will face a sharp decline ### Related Stocks - [GOVT.US - ISHRS Us Trsry Bd](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOVT.US.md) - [SHV.US - iShares Barclays Short Treasury](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SHV.US.md) - [BIL.US - SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BIL.US.md) - [LQD.US - iShares iBoxx Invt](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/LQD.US.md) - [IGSB.US - iShares Trust iShares 1-5 Year Invest Grade Corp Bond ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IGSB.US.md) - [IEF.US - iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IEF.US.md) - [SCHI.US - Schwab 5-10 Year Corp Bond ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SCHI.US.md) - [TLT.US - iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TLT.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | Mike Dolan:ROI-债券在对人工智能提升生产力的信仰飞跃中被卷入 | 国债受到人工智能生产力激增的影响,导致美国政府债券收益率下降。关于美联储可能降息的猜测正在上升,尤其是在凯文·沃什即将领导的背景下。然而,关于人工智能对生产力和利率影响的怀疑仍然存在。虽然一些人认为人工智能将降低成本,但另一些人警告由于投资 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276210976.md) | | 表格 - 美国 30 年期抗通胀债券的非竞争性投标 | 2 月 19 日(路透社)- 以下是美国 30 年期抗通胀债券的非竞争性投标结果: - 30 年期抗通胀债券 - 发行日期:2026 年 2 月 27 日 - CUSIP:912810US5 - 到期日期:2056 年 2 月 15 日 - | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276364019.md) | | 由于交易员预期美联储政策,美国国债收益率涨跌互现 | 美国国债收益率表现不一,交易员评估美联储政策,10 年期国债收益率为 4.077%,而 2 年期国债收益率上升至 3.468%。美联储纪要显示对潜在加息持鹰派立场,同时失业救济申请人数下降,贸易赤字扩大。对 90 亿美元的 30 年期通胀挂 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276373923.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.