--- title: "Avalanche: Can AVAX’s 25% volume surge break its multi-year downtrend?" description: "Avalanche (AVAX) experienced a 25% surge in trading volume, reaching $248.87 million, as it attempted to break a multi-year downtrend. Despite a bullish MACD crossover and increased market buying, AVA" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/276481277.md" published_at: "2026-02-20T20:00:47.000Z" --- # Avalanche: Can AVAX’s 25% volume surge break its multi-year downtrend? > Avalanche (AVAX) experienced a 25% surge in trading volume, reaching $248.87 million, as it attempted to break a multi-year downtrend. Despite a bullish MACD crossover and increased market buying, AVAX remains under key resistance levels, with the price around $9.25. The weekly chart indicates continued bearish momentum, requiring a close above the multi-year downtrend for a trend reversal. Current indicators suggest accumulation but lack confirmation of a structural change in the market. After months of losses, altcoins have begun showing signs of recovery, with Avalanche \[AVAX\] among them On the 20th of February 2026, AVAX saw renewed activity as volume climbed 25 percent to $248.87 million. It traded around $9.25, pushing into the descending trendline formed after the October 10 crash. That violent selloff marked the start of a prolonged grind lower. Since that crash, the descending resistance repeatedly rejected every recovery attempt. Meanwhile, $7.29 acted as key structural support and remained the level bulls could not afford to lose. With price pressing resistance again, the real question was whether momentum finally had the strength to break it. ## **MACD forms a bullish crossover** On the daily chart, AVAX formed a bullish MACD crossover as it approached the downtrend channel from October’s crash. The histogram turned slightly positive, signaling short‑term momentum shifting away from bearish control. Source: TradingView At press time, RSI climbed toward 42, recovering from recent lows but still below 50. Therefore, momentum improved, yet it had not fully transitioned into bullish territory. AVAX remained directly under resistance, which limited the impact of the crossover. ## **Leverage market analysis** Spot Taker Buy Dominance stayed elevated on Cumulative Volume Delta, according to CryptoQuant, reflecting aggressive market buying. Source: CryptoQuant Moreover, Futures Taker Buy Dominance also remained elevated, showing participation across leveraged markets. Source: CryptoQuant This combination suggested active demand rather than passive bidding. However, despite strong taker activity, the price failed to decisively reclaim the descending resistance. As a result, buyer aggression had not yet translated into structural change. However, the data implied accumulation was developing beneath price action. Only a structural breakout could validate that buildup. ## **Will AVAX break its the multi-year downtrend?** On the weekly chart, the multi-year downtrend continued to act as macro resistance. Every major rally since 2021 had stalled beneath this ceiling. This meant AVAX had remained in a bear market since 2021. Source: TradingView Weekly RSI remained near 31.78 and below its moving average, signaling weak momentum. Weekly MACD stayed below zero with a slightly negative histogram. Therefore, the broader structure remained bearish despite short-term improvement on lower timeframes. Looking ahead, a weekly close above the multi-year downtrend would be required to confirm a shift. Until that happened, Avalanche remained within a larger bearish framework. * * * ## Final Summary - *Elevated taker dominance and rising volume showed participation, not confirmation.* - *A weekly reclaim of macro resistance remained the defining requirement for trend reversal.* ### Related Stocks - [COIW.US - Roundhill COIN WeeklyPay ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/COIW.US.md) - [COIN.US - Coinbase](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/COIN.US.md) - [RIOT.US - Riot Platforms](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/RIOT.US.md) - [MARA.US - Mara](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MARA.US.md) - [VAVX.US - VanEck Avalanche ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/VAVX.US.md) - [HODL.US - VanEck Bitcoin ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/HODL.US.md) - [BTDR.US - Bitdeer Tech](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTDR.US.md) - [SQ.US - Block](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SQ.US.md) - [BTCO.US - Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCO.US.md) - [MSTP.US - GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTP.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | BUZZ-Bitdeer steadies after convertible, direct stock deals priced | Shares of Bitdeer Technologiesfell to $7.91 premarket after announcing a $325 million convertible bond offering and sell | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276443420.md) | | Avalanche to Hold AMA on X on February 26 | Avalanche will host a live AMA on February 26 at 8:00 AM UTC, featuring a walkthrough of deploying the first OpenClaw ag | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276735886.md) | | Blind Vendors Ohana Selects Square to Power Accessible, Multi-Location Retail Operations at Honolulu Airport \| XYZ Stock News | Blind Vendors Ohana (BVO) has partnered with Square to enhance retail operations at Honolulu Airport. 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