--- title: "UBS's Deng Weishen: The government's first use of the foreign exchange fund for Beijing's infrastructure will help diversify and optimize the investment portfolio, reducing the need for further borrowing" description: "UBS Investment Bank analyst Deng Weishen pointed out that the Hong Kong government has used HKD 150 billion from the foreign exchange fund for northern infrastructure projects for the first time, whic" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/276977939.md" published_at: "2026-02-26T03:23:33.000Z" --- # UBS's Deng Weishen: The government's first use of the foreign exchange fund for Beijing's infrastructure will help diversify and optimize the investment portfolio, reducing the need for further borrowing > UBS Investment Bank analyst Deng Weishen pointed out that the Hong Kong government has used HKD 150 billion from the foreign exchange fund for northern infrastructure projects for the first time, which helps diversify and optimize the investment portfolio and reduce the need for borrowing. He believes that Hong Kong has room to diversify risks by issuing more RMB-denominated bonds and enhance long-term growth potential. UBS maintains its 2026 real GDP growth forecast at 3.3%, above market consensus, and is focused on government spending and changes in the industrial cycle UBS Investment Bank Senior Asia Economist Deng Weishen believes that Hong Kong maintains a robust net asset balance sheet, but has lagged behind other comparable economies in growth in recent years. Therefore, there is room for Hong Kong to finance capital expenditures through bond issuance to enhance long-term growth potential. Additionally, there is room to optimize the currency structure of bonds. Currently, RMB-denominated bonds only account for a relatively small portion of total debt. Thus, issuing more RMB-denominated bonds will help diversify risks and improve efficiency. Regarding the government's plan to utilize HKD 150 billion from the Exchange Fund for the first time since 1984 for the Northern Metropolis and other infrastructure projects according to the Exchange Fund Ordinance, Deng Weishen stated that this net equity belongs to government assets and will fluctuate with market return cycles. Therefore, using part of the annual revenue in 2025 to support long-term growth potential will help diversify and optimize the overall government investment portfolio and reduce the need for further borrowing. The key focus in the future should be on the efficiency of these capital expenditures. Deng Weishen stated that maintaining a growth forecast above market consensus, the government expects the actual GDP growth rate in 2026 to be in the range of 2.5%-3.5%. UBS maintains a 3.3% actual GDP growth forecast, which is at the upper end of the government's forecast range and higher than market consensus. Overall, the bank believes there is still upside risk based on the already higher-than-consensus growth forecast; future focus will be on the government's actual spending progress and potential industrial cycle changes. If the economy faces unexpected shocks again, he believes the government can still utilize resilient fiscal reserves to provide counter-cyclical support when necessary ### Related Stocks - [00HSI.HK - Hang Seng Index](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/00HSI.HK.md) - [03122.HK - A CSOP RMB MM](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03122.HK.md) - [83161.HK - A CAM RMB MM-R](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/83161.HK.md) - [83122.HK - A CSOP RMB MM-R](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/83122.HK.md) - [03192.HK - A BOS RMB MM](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03192.HK.md) - [03161.HK - A CAM RMB MM](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03161.HK.md) - [83192.HK - A BOS RMB MM-R](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/83192.HK.md) - [03420.HK - A VP RMB MM](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03420.HK.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | 香港政府称第四季度 GDP 同比增长 3.8% | 香港政府表示第四季度 GDP 同比增长 3.8% | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276826499.md) | | 香港年度财政预算案:2025 年经济增长 3.5%、楼市回暖、股市日均成交额增加九成!预计 2026 年经济增长 2.5% 至 3.5% | 香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波于 25 日发布 2026/2027 财政预算案,预计 2025 年经济增长 3.5%,楼市回暖,股市日均成交额增加九成,创历史新高。2026 年经济增长预计为 2.5% 至 3.5%。通胀保持轻微,基本通胀率为 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276851050.md) | | 香港 2026-27 年度预算:在旅游业改革的背景下,“幻彩咏香江” 将停止运行 | 香港将停止持续了二十年的 “光之交响曲” 表演,取而代之的是在各个地区进行沉浸式投影,这一举措是财政司司长陈茂波在最新预算中宣布的旅游改革的一部分。该预算为香港旅游发展局拨款 16.6 亿港元,比去年增加 35%,以推广活动和吸引游客。其他 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276972290.md) | | 人民币,会升破 6.8 吗? | 多家机构指出,美元信用受损是本轮升值核心驱动,只要美元弱势格局未逆转,叠加企业结汇需求的放大效应,以及基本面的支撑,人民币升值趋势便难以终结,财通证券测算极端情况下可能升破 6.8。 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276877584.md) | | 美元/人民币预测:以下是人民币全面走强的原因 | 美元/人民币汇率已降至自 2023 年 4 月以来的最低水平,达到 6.8955,经历了 14 周的下跌。这一趋势归因于最高法院对特朗普关税的裁决以及中国人民银行决定维持利率不变。受疲弱经济数据的影响,美元指数也显著下跌。分析师预测,美元/ | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276681791.md) | --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.