--- title: "Is It Time To Reconsider Geely (SEHK:175) After Recent Hong Kong Auto Sector Sentiment Shift?" description: "Geely Automobile Holdings (SEHK:175) is currently facing mixed investor sentiment, with a recent share price of HK$16.31 reflecting a 12.4% decline over the past year. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) ana" type: "news" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/277162951.md" published_at: "2026-02-27T08:15:58.000Z" --- # Is It Time To Reconsider Geely (SEHK:175) After Recent Hong Kong Auto Sector Sentiment Shift? > Geely Automobile Holdings (SEHK:175) is currently facing mixed investor sentiment, with a recent share price of HK$16.31 reflecting a 12.4% decline over the past year. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests the stock is undervalued by 63.9%, estimating an intrinsic value of HK$45.24 per share. Additionally, Geely's P/E ratio of 9.41x is below the industry average of 19.30x, indicating further undervaluation. Analysts project significant future cash flows, raising questions about the company's position in the shifting Hong Kong auto sector. - If you are wondering whether Geely Automobile Holdings is attractively priced or not, this article will walk you through what the current share price might be implying about its value. - The stock last closed at HK$16.31, with a 7 day return of 4.3% decline, a 30 day return of 1.3% decline, a year to date return of 10.4% decline, a 1 year return of 12.4% decline and a 3 year return of 66.1% alongside a 5 year return of 27.7% decline. This gives a mixed picture for investors weighing recent weakness against longer term performance. - Recent coverage around Geely has focused on its position in the Hong Kong auto sector and how sentiment has shifted between traditional and newer energy vehicle makers. This helps frame these share price moves. Longer term discussions in the press about competition, regulation and consumer demand for different vehicle types also sit in the background for anyone trying to judge whether the current level makes sense. - Right now Geely holds a valuation score of 6 out of 6 on our checks. Next we will look at how standard valuation methods stack up against each other, before finishing with a different way of thinking about value that can help tie everything together. Geely Automobile Holdings delivered -12.4% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Auto industry. ### Approach 1: Geely Automobile Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business might be worth today by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back into present value terms. For Geely Automobile Holdings, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flows reported in CN¥. The latest twelve month free cash flow sits at about CN¥5.9b. Analysts provide forecasts out to 2027, with CN¥31.5b projected for 2026 and CN¥33.7b for 2027, and Simply Wall St then extrapolates further out to 2035, reaching a projected free cash flow of CN¥45.4b in that year. When all these projected cash flows are discounted back using the DCF model, the estimated intrinsic value comes out at HK$45.24 per share. Compared with the recent share price of HK$16.31, this suggests the stock is 63.9% undervalued according to this method. **Result: UNDERVALUED** Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Geely Automobile Holdings is undervalued by 63.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 232 more high quality undervalued stocks. Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Geely Automobile Holdings. ### Approach 2: Geely Automobile Holdings Price vs Earnings For a profitable company like Geely Automobile Holdings, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much investors are paying for each unit of earnings. This can be more meaningful than looking at revenue or assets alone. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends a lot on what the market thinks about a company’s earnings growth and risk. Higher growth and lower perceived risk can justify a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher risk usually points to a lower one. Geely currently trades on a P/E of 9.41x. That sits below the Auto industry average of 19.30x and also below the peer group average of 10.79x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Geely is 11.12x. This Fair Ratio is a proprietary estimate of what P/E might be reasonable after considering factors like earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk. It can be more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry because it adjusts for Geely’s own characteristics rather than assuming all companies deserve the same multiple. With the current P/E of 9.41x sitting below the Fair Ratio of 11.12x, the shares appear undervalued on this measure. **Result: UNDERVALUED** P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 97 top founder-led companies. ### Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Geely Automobile Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simple stories you create about Geely Automobile Holdings that connect your view of its future revenue, earnings and margins to a forecast, a fair value, and then a clear comparison with today’s share price, all within the Simply Wall St Community page where Narratives update automatically when fresh news or earnings arrive and where one investor might, for example, lean toward a higher fair value around HK$33.42 based on faster growth assumptions while another focuses on a lower fair value near HK$20.53 with more cautious expectations, giving you a practical range of perspectives rather than a single number. Do you think there's more to the story for Geely Automobile Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! *This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. **We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.** It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.* ### **New:** Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place We've created the **ultimate portfolio companion** for stock investors, **and it's free.** • Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency • Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile • Track the Fair Value of your stocks Try a Demo Portfolio for Free ### Related Stocks - [GELYY.US - Geely Auto](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GELYY.US.md) - [00175.HK - GEELY AUTO](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/00175.HK.md) - [44069.HK - 吉利汽车](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/44069.HK.md) - [GELHY.US - GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED SPON ADS EACH REP 20 ORD](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GELHY.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | Chinese Carmakers Bet on Global Push, AI to Stay Competitive | Chinese automakers, including Nio, Xpeng, and Geely, are focusing on overseas expansion and AI to stay competitive in 20 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/277031812.md) | | Zeekr launches sales in Italy and deliveries in Germany | Geely's electric vehicle brand Zeekr has launched in Italy with local partner Jameel Motors Italia, offering models incl | [Link](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276712442.md) | | Exclusive: Consumer Safety Expert Weighs In On Safety Rules, Affordability Debate In US Auto Sector | In the U.S. auto sector, safety features are under scrutiny amid affordability debates. 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