Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 estimate 2.1% versus 3.2% previously

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q1 has declined to 2.1% from 3.2%.

• The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.1 percent on March 6, down from 3.0 percent on March 2. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 2.8 percent and 7.9 percent, respectively, to 1.8 percent and 6.8 percent.

The next GDPNow update is Thursday, March 12. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases.