---
title: "Citi: Downgrades global smartphone shipment forecast, recent sell-off in the supply chain will provide buying opportunities"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/278989423.md"
description: "Citi has lowered its global smartphone shipment forecast, expecting shipments of 1.04 billion and 1.17 billion units in 2023 and 2024, respectively, a decrease of 17% and an increase of 12%. The forecast is based on memory shortages, rising prices, and inflation affecting demand. Citi recommends a selective investment strategy during the downturn of the smartphone supply chain, favoring memory stocks such as SK Hynix and Sandisk, as well as related companies like Lens, believing that recent sell-offs will provide buying opportunities"
datetime: "2026-03-13T05:47:17.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/278989423.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/278989423.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/278989423.md)
---

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# Citi: Downgrades global smartphone shipment forecast, recent sell-off in the supply chain will provide buying opportunities

On March 13, Citi lowered its global smartphone shipment forecasts for this year and next to 1.04 billion and 1.17 billion units, respectively, representing a year-on-year decrease of 17% and a year-on-year increase of 12%. It predicts that shipments will rise by 7% year-on-year to 1.25 billion units by 2028. The forecasts are based on memory shortages and rising prices, as well as inflation leading to weak demand, with average selling price growth rates projected at 7%, 2%, and 3% year-on-year, respectively.

The bank stated that during the downcycle of the smartphone industry chain, it will continue to adopt a selective strategy, focusing on component profit-oriented companies. Among memory stocks, it prefers SK Hynix, Sandisk, Kioxia, and Samsung Electronics. For the foldable iPhone concept, it favors Lens, Amphenol, Zhen Ding Technology, Dongshan Precision, and TDK. For the iPhone cycle, it prefers Luxshare Precision, and for iPhone camera modules, it favors LG Innotek and GoerTek. The bank believes that recent sell-offs in the smartphone industry chain (core stocks) will provide buying opportunities.

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