--- title: "U.S. Stock Market Outlook | Three Major Index Futures Rise Together, Nike Plummets After Earnings, Trump to Release Important Update on Iran Issue" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/281364233.md" description: "On April 1st, the three major U.S. stock index futures all rose, with Dow futures up 0.86%, S&P 500 futures up 0.83%, and Nasdaq futures up 1.07%. Trump is scheduled to give a speech on April 1st to announce an \"important update\" regarding Iran. Market analysis indicates that the significant rebound in U.S. stocks on Tuesday was primarily due to short covering rather than a reversal in sentiment" datetime: "2026-04-01T12:12:59.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281364233.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281364233.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281364233.md) --- # U.S. Stock Market Outlook | Three Major Index Futures Rise Together, Nike Plummets After Earnings, Trump to Release Important Update on Iran Issue ## Pre-Market Market Trends 1. As of April 1 (Wednesday), U.S. stock index futures are all up before the market opens. As of the time of publication, Dow futures are up 0.86%, S&P 500 futures are up 0.83%, and Nasdaq futures are up 1.07%. ![21.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260401/1775045128915841.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) 1. As of the time of publication, the German DAX index is up 2.98%, the UK FTSE 100 index is up 2.04%, the French CAC 40 index is up 2.04%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 index is up 2.73%. ![22.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260401/1775045136116172.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) 1. As of the time of publication, WTI crude oil is down 2.81%, priced at $98.53 per barrel. Brent crude oil is down 2.59%, priced at $101.28 per barrel. ![23.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260401/1775045144216928.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) ## Market News **Trump to announce "important update" on Iran issue.** The White House stated on March 31 that Trump will deliver a national address at 9 PM Eastern Time on April 1 (9 AM Beijing Time on April 2) to provide an "important update" on the Iran issue. It is reported that Trump indicated on March 31 while signing an executive order at the White House that the U.S. might end military operations against Iran within two to three weeks. He stated that U.S. troops are completing their final tasks, saying, "I think it could be done in two weeks, maybe a few more days." Meanwhile, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi stated on March 31 that Iran has a "necessary willingness" to end the war, provided that the other side meets Iran's demands, especially by providing necessary guarantees against further aggression. **J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs dissect the truth behind the U.S. stock market's major rebound: short squeeze rather than sentiment reversal.** After both the U.S. and Iran signaled a de-escalation of tensions, the S&P 500 index surged 2.9% on Tuesday, marking its largest single-day gain since May of last year. However, trading departments at major Wall Street institutions indicated that the extremely bearish position structure in the stock market prior to the quarter-end was the main driver of the significant rebound on Tuesday, rather than a shift in investor sentiment regarding the prospects of the Middle East conflict. Traders at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan stated that the rise in U.S. stocks on Tuesday was primarily due to a short squeeze, with the sudden rebound being more a result of various market participants covering their short positions. It is reported that hedge funds and commodity trading advisors (CTAs) had been heavily shorting stocks. These major firms' trading departments also predict that pension funds will make large-scale reallocations at the end of the month, shifting towards buying stocks, while the negative gamma pressure points held by options traders will gradually dissipate with the expiration of options on Tuesday, providing further upward momentum for the market **Don't wait for the war to end! Wall Street "calculator": U.S. stocks usually bottom out at the beginning of conflicts.** Well-known Wall Street strategist and co-founder of Fundstrat, Tom Lee, has sent a positive signal to investors—despite the unclear duration of military conflicts, historical experience shows that stock market bottoms typically occur at the beginning of wars, not at the end. In his latest research report, Lee reviewed seven major military conflicts since 1900. The study found that equity assets tend to bottom out and rebound shortly after the outbreak of conflict. He explained that this is because investors often "anticipate the risk of risks," pricing in negative expectations in a very short time. Data shows that market bottoms usually occur in the first 10% of the total duration of wars. He stated, "Looking ahead to April, we believe the market is much closer to a true bottom than those pessimists expect." He firmly believes that a sharp decline is often followed by a "V-shaped reversal," as the U.S. economy is fully capable of coping with the current macro challenges. **Bottom-fishing buyers beware? Top economist warns: Avoid the U.S. stock market index!** Top economist and former PIMCO Chief Investment Officer Mohamed El-Erian has issued a warning to bottom-fishing buyers. He stated that as the Iran war enters its second month, he is currently avoiding stocks—especially broad market indices. He mentioned a series of economic consequences triggered by high oil prices and stated that the market must now deal with a risk that "demand shocks" will begin to spread throughout the economy. He said, "This is another flashpoint for the global economy. My investment strategy has shifted from 'reducing risk' to 'full hedging.' At this point, while a few individual stocks may look attractive, I would never enter to buy the broad market index." He added that even considering the current declines, investors may still be underpricing the economic risks triggered by the Iran war. **Gold and silver may have peaked, has the "once in a generation" high point passed?** Senior market analyst Mike McGlone has warned investors that the peak of gold and silver in January this year may represent a "once in a generation" historical high. He stated that gold is facing a tough obstacle—this obstacle is caused by an overly extended speculative market at the beginning of the year. "By the end of February, gold prices reached a historical high relative to the commodity spot index, and the premium over its 60-month moving average was the highest since 1980." Like gold, he expects that silver's rise to $120 per ounce in January may also represent a historic peak. He stated, "A prolonged war or ceasefire could keep gold prices above $5,000 per ounce, but if signs of a collapse in the Iranian offensive appear and the Strait of Hormuz becomes safe again, gold prices may face pressure to fall back to $4,000." ## Individual Stock News **Strong comeback after market share halved: Tesla (TSLA.US) March sales in France surged 203% year-on-year, and sales in Denmark increased by 108%.** The latest data released on Wednesday shows that Tesla's new car registrations in France in March increased more than twofold year-on-year, just slightly below the historical peak set over two years ago, with a doubling of growth also achieved in Denmark This latest sign indicates that the electric vehicle giant is experiencing a sales recovery in the European market. Data released by the French Automobile Industry Association (PFA) on Wednesday showed that Tesla registered 9,569 new vehicles in France in March, a 203.10% increase compared to the same period in 2025, just slightly below the historical peak of 9,572 vehicles set in December 2023. Data from Denmark's bilstatistik.dk showed that Tesla's registrations in the country increased by 144% year-on-year, reaching 1,447 vehicles. As of the time of writing, Tesla's stock rose over 2% in pre-market trading on Wednesday. **Growth Stalls! Nike (NKE.US) Plummets in Pre-Market, Iranian Conflict and "20% Drop Warning" in China Hit Recovery Dreams Hard.** The earnings report showed that Nike's revenue for the third quarter ending February 28 was $11.3 billion, exceeding average expectations but flat compared to the same period last year; earnings per share were $0.35, higher than the expected $0.28. Nike stated that inventory levels in Europe and the Middle East are high due to promotional activities and disruptions caused by the war. In China, due to operational missteps coupled with fierce domestic competition, Nike's sales in the third quarter fell by 10%. These negative factors, along with weakness in the Greater China region and other business areas, overshadowed strong performance in North America. Additionally, the company expects revenue to decline by 2% to 4% in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year starting in March. This has heightened investor concerns that the war in Iran will undermine its recovery efforts. As of the time of writing, Nike's stock fell nearly 11% in pre-market trading on Wednesday. **Performance Hits New Low Since IPO, Beyond Meat (BYND.US) Renames and Transforms to Bet on Low-Controversy New Products for Self-Rescue.** Global plant-based meat pioneer Beyond Meat (now officially renamed Beyond The Plant Protein Company) recently disclosed its fourth-quarter and full-year financial report for 2025. The report showed that the company's revenue continued to decline significantly, setting a record low for annual revenue since its IPO, with losses expanding significantly. Additionally, multiple delays in financial report disclosures due to internal control issues have led to a drop in stock price, and the company has received a delisting warning from NASDAQ. Facing a persistent downturn in industry demand, this former capital star is launching a comprehensive brand overhaul, downplaying the "meat" label and betting on "low-controversy" new products like bubble protein drinks in an attempt to break through and achieve a performance turnaround. As of the time of writing, Beyond Meat's stock fell over 8% in pre-market trading on Wednesday. **Iran Threatens Retaliation for Airstrikes, Lists Nvidia (NVDA.US), Apple (AAPL.US), and Other Tech Giants as "Targets."** The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran announced that it threatens to attack a series of American tech companies operating in the Middle East, including Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft (MSFT.US), and Google (GOOGL.US). The IRGC warned that in retaliation for U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, 18 companies will be considered "legitimate targets." The organization warned that attacks could begin at 8 PM Tehran time on Wednesday and urged employees to leave their workplaces. The list also includes Cisco Systems (CSCO.US), HP (HPQ.US), Intel (INTC.US), Oracle (ORCL.US), IBM (IBM.US), Dell Technologies (DELL.US), and Palantir Technologies (PLTR.US) JP Morgan (JPM.US), Tesla, GE Aerospace (GE.US), Boeing (BA.US), Spire Solutions, and the UAE-based artificial intelligence company G42. Earlier this month, Iran attacked Amazon (AMZN.US) cloud service AWS facilities in the Middle East, causing disruptions to multiple applications and digital services in the UAE. **Focus on oil and gas business! BP (BP.US) new CEO sets the tone on her first day: Accelerate performance improvement while maintaining strategic coherence.** According to an employee memo, BP's new CEO Meg O'Neill stated on Wednesday, at the start of her tenure, that she would focus on accelerating the company's performance while maintaining strategic coherence. In her memo to employees, she said, "I believe we can steadily accelerate performance improvement and drive innovation, sustainability, and growth. I am committed to providing clear direction and consistency so that we can confidently move forward together." She officially took office as BP attempts to move away from its previous underperformance in the renewable energy sector. 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