--- title: "India's economy seeks trade balance under pressure" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/281582122.md" description: "In March, the Indian government amended its Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) rules to relax restrictions on Chinese investments in response to slowing economic growth and capital shortages. The economic growth rate for India in the fiscal year 2024-2025 is expected to be 6.5%, the lowest in four years. India is facing increasing external pressures, particularly due to disruptions in the global energy supply chain. This policy adjustment aims to attract foreign investment and enhance economic competitiveness, especially in the solar energy and electronics manufacturing sectors" datetime: "2026-04-02T22:30:11.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281582122.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281582122.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281582122.md) --- # India's economy seeks trade balance under pressure The picture shows New Delhi, the capital of India. (Visual China) In March, the Indian government officially announced modifications to its foreign direct investment (FDI) rules, easing restrictions on Chinese investments in areas such as electronic components and solar cells, while allowing Chinese investments with a shareholding ratio of no more than 10% to be completed through an automatic approval pathway. This marks the first systematic relaxation of investment restrictions on China by India since 2020, reflecting India's pragmatic trade orientation in seeking balance amid the current international situation and trade landscape. In recent years, although India's economic growth rate remains among the highest in the world, it has slowed down. For the fiscal year 2024-2025 (April 2024 to March 2025), India's economic growth rate is projected to be 6.5%, the lowest in four years. Currently, structural contradictions in the Indian economy are becoming increasingly prominent, with capital shortages becoming a core bottleneck constraining India's industrialization. According to data released by the Reserve Bank of India (India's central bank) in February, India's current account deficit is expected to rise to 2.1% of GDP by 2025, the rupee has depreciated over 4.8% against the dollar, and the total foreign direct investment inflow for the year has decreased by 12.7% year-on-year, with a funding gap in the manufacturing sector reaching nearly $20 billion. In addition to its own economic contradictions, the increasingly severe surrounding situation is also an important external factor putting pressure on the Indian economy. Recently, the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Israel has disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, severely affecting the global energy supply chain. In this context, multiple industries in India have encountered a natural gas supply crisis, prompting the Indian government to implement emergency measures to prioritize gas supply for key industries and households, further increasing the pressure on economic development. Industry insiders point out that the recent easing of restrictions on Chinese investments is primarily a policy adjustment made by India to alleviate capital tension and address shortcomings in the industrial chain. The Indian government hopes to boost the current economy and seize global trade advantages amid the increasingly complex international situation. For example, in the solar energy industry, India previously imposed comprehensive restrictions on Chinese investments, and local production capacity in India's solar cell sector could only meet 30% of domestic demand. The cost of upstream components in the electronics manufacturing industry has risen by over 15% due to investment restrictions, directly driving up the prices of Indian export goods and weakening their global competitiveness. In fact, since 2020, investment exchanges between China and India have remained sluggish, becoming a shortcoming in Sino-Indian economic and trade relations. It can be said that easing restrictions on Chinese investments is imperative for India's economic development in the new fiscal year. Focusing on the specific items of India's easing of investment restrictions, it is not difficult to find that India has expressed a "limited welcome" to Chinese investments. On one hand, India has opened investment fields that urgently need capital replenishment and has made it clear that as long as Indian residents maintain majority ownership, applications for Chinese investments can be approved in a short period. Compliant investments with a shareholding of less than 10% can directly go through the automatic approval channel, significantly reducing the institutional costs for Chinese investments. On the other hand, India still retains many cautious fallback clauses and has not relaxed much regarding security reviews and Indian control, which is also a consideration for domestic political sentiments in India India's relaxation of restrictions on Chinese capital is naturally a positive development for both China and India, but restrictions on Chinese capital still remain. Previously, India has repeatedly modified rules and initiated compliance reviews for Chinese enterprises, and investments from Chinese companies still face the risk of policy changes. It is noteworthy that, from a geopolitical perspective, this adjustment is actually a reflection of India's implementation of a great power balancing strategy: on one hand, it is absorbing the production capacity transferred from the United States and enjoying the benefits of US-India cooperation, while on the other hand, it is introducing Chinese capital and technology to stabilize its own supply chain and maximize its economic interests. Recently, although the atmosphere of US-India trade negotiations has significantly eased, the differences have not disappeared. The Indian government may still use goodwill signals towards China as leverage to encourage the US to offer more concessions, and this goodwill signal is not long-lasting, which is worth being cautious about. Overall, this policy adjustment is a positive signal for the warming of economic and trade exchanges between China and India. In the future, India needs to properly address the short-term pressures brought by great power competition and electoral politics, and adopt a more pragmatic attitude to implement its economic policies. (Economic Daily reporter Shi Puhao) ### Related Stocks - [INDL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/INDL.US.md) - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/INDA.US.md) - [GLIN.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GLIN.US.md) - [NDIA.AU](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NDIA.AU.md) - [EPI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/EPI.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [ASIA RICE-India's export rates stagnant as market faces slow demand](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286490582.md) - [Indian regulator clarifies banks, brokers not liable for offshore funds' tax dues, sources say](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286253948.md) - [The Hottest AI Trade In Private Equity Isn't Software — It's Power Plants](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286818337.md) - [15:00 ETCEBA Announces New Board Leadership and Board Members](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286808949.md) - [Wheat Futures Higher After White House Confirms China Deal — Daily Grain Highlights](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286811987.md)