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Everyone’s awaiting U.S. inflation figures, but bitcoin traders couldn’t care less

coindesk
Apr 9, 2026 at 08:35 AM
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Bitcoin traders are anticipating only a 2.5% price movement around the upcoming U.S. inflation report, indicating it may be a non-event. Implied volatility for bitcoin has reached its lowest level since January, despite expectations of a 3.4% CPI due to energy shocks from the Iran war. Analysts suggest that inflation readings could influence Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and bitcoin's future movements, revealing a disconnect between expert concerns and market sentiment.

  • Bitcoin traders are pricing in only a 2.5% move around Friday’s U.S. inflation report, signaling a potential non-event.
  • Implied volatility in bitcoin has dropped to its lowest since January, even as March CPI is expected to hit 3.4% amid an Iran war–driven energy shock.
  • Analysts say each inflation reading could sway Fed rate-cut expectations and bitcoin’s next move, highlighting a gap between expert concerns and market pricing.

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