--- title: "Is Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Offering Value After A 19% One Year Share Price Drop" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/283198544.md" description: "Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) has seen a 19.1% decline in share price over the past year, currently trading at $7.89. Despite a recent 4.8% increase over the last week, the stock remains flat year-to-date. An Excess Returns analysis suggests it is undervalued by 36.9%, with an intrinsic value of $12.51 per share. However, a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.18x indicates it may be overvalued compared to its peers. Investors are weighing the stock's potential against risks in the mortgage REIT sector, influenced by interest rate expectations and market conditions." datetime: "2026-04-17T21:45:41.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283198544.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283198544.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283198544.md) --- # Is Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Offering Value After A 19% One Year Share Price Drop - If you are wondering whether Arbor Realty Trust at US$7.89 is offering value or simply reflecting its risks, the recent share performance gives some useful clues to start that assessment. - The stock has moved 4.8% over the last 7 days and 1.4% over the last 30 days. Year to date it is broadly flat with a 0.8% decline, and the 1-year return sits at a 19.1% loss. These figures can shape how investors view both its potential and its risks. - These price moves sit against a backdrop of ongoing attention on mortgage REITs and income-focused names like Arbor Realty Trust. Investors often weigh current yields against balance sheet strength and property market conditions. That context helps frame why the share price can react quickly to changes in interest rate expectations, credit conditions or sentiment toward real estate financing. - Arbor Realty Trust currently has a valuation score of 3 out of 6, which raises the question of how different approaches to valuation judge the stock today. It also sets up a closer look at those methods along with a broader way to think about its true worth by the end of this article. Find out why Arbor Realty Trust's -19.1% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. ### Approach 1: Arbor Realty Trust Excess Returns Analysis The Excess Returns model asks a simple question: is Arbor Realty Trust generating earnings above the return required by its equity investors, and if so, what is that worth per share today? For Arbor Realty Trust, the model uses a Book Value of $11.87 per share and a Stable EPS of $1.13 per share, based on the median return on equity from the past 5 years. The Average Return on Equity is 10.77%, compared with a Cost of Equity of $1.00 per share. That gap produces an Excess Return of $0.13 per share, suggesting earnings sit modestly above the required return. The Stable Book Value input of $10.46 per share comes from weighted future Book Value estimates from 4 analysts. Using these inputs, the Excess Returns approach arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $12.51 per share. Versus the current share price of US$7.89, this implies Arbor Realty Trust trades at a 36.9% discount, which points to an undervalued stock on this model. **Result: UNDERVALUED** Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Arbor Realty Trust is undervalued by 36.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 58 more high quality undervalued stocks. Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Arbor Realty Trust. ### Approach 2: Arbor Realty Trust Price vs Earnings For a profitable company like Arbor Realty Trust, the P/E ratio is a useful way to relate what you pay per share to the earnings that each share generates. Investors usually accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger growth or see lower risk, and look for a lower P/E when growth is limited or risks are higher. Arbor Realty Trust currently trades on a P/E of 14.18x. That sits above the Mortgage REITs industry average of 8.87x, but slightly below a peer group average of 15.16x. Simply Wall St also provides a “Fair Ratio” of 12.90x, which reflects the P/E that might be expected for Arbor Realty Trust after factoring in elements such as its earnings profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio can be more informative than a straight comparison to peers or the industry, because it adjusts for company specific features rather than assuming all REITs deserve the same multiple. Compared with the Fair Ratio of 12.90x, the current P/E of 14.18x is higher, which points to Arbor Realty Trust trading on a richer earnings multiple using this approach. **Result: OVERVALUED** P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies. ### Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Arbor Realty Trust Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as your own written story that ties Arbor Realty Trust’s business outlook to your assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins. The Simply Wall St Community tool then turns this into a fair value that is constantly updated when new data such as earnings or news arrives. This allows you to compare that fair value with the live share price and see, for example, how one investor focusing on elevated interest rates, slower agency production and a possible dividend reset could arrive near the lower US$10.50 analyst target, while another investor focused on loan resolutions, diversified revenue streams and past book value growth might sit closer to the upper US$15.00 target. Do you think there's more to the story for Arbor Realty Trust? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! _This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. **We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.** It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. 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