--- title: "Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) Net Margin Surges To 51.2% Reinforcing Bullish Profitability Narrative" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/284907901.md" description: "Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) reported Q1 2026 revenue of US$596.7 million and a basic EPS of US$0.46, reflecting a 312.6% year-over-year earnings increase and a net margin of 51.2%, up from 18.4% a year earlier. Despite a decrease in gold production from 4.41 million ounces to 3.85 million ounces, analysts expect revenue to grow 17.6% annually. The stock trades at a P/E of 15.8x, below the DCF fair value of CA$209.79, indicating potential upside despite concerns over execution and cost risks. Investors are advised to consider both bullish and bearish perspectives on future growth and risks." datetime: "2026-05-01T14:03:50.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/284907901.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/284907901.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/284907901.md) --- # Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) Net Margin Surges To 51.2% Reinforcing Bullish Profitability Narrative Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) opened 2026 with Q1 revenue of US$596.7 million and basic EPS of US$0.46, set against trailing 12 month revenue of US$2.1 billion and EPS of US$2.53 that were attributed to a 312.6% year over year jump in earnings and a 5 year annualized earnings growth rate of 59.7% per year. Over the last reported quarters, revenue moved from US$333 million in Q1 2025 to US$575.3 million in Q4 2025 and then to US$596.7 million in Q1 2026, while quarterly EPS shifted from US$0.04 to US$1.03 and then US$0.46, with trailing profitability supported by a net margin of 51.2% versus 18.4% a year earlier. Overall, the latest results come after a period where earnings, margins, and revenue have been key factors in how investors are likely to interpret this update. See our full analysis for Alamos Gold. With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how these results align with the main stories investors follow around Alamos Gold and where those narratives may need to be reconsidered. See what the community is saying about Alamos Gold TSX:AGI Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at May 2026 ## Margins Backed By 51.2% Net Profit - Over the last 12 months, Alamos Gold produced US$2.1b in revenue and US$1.1b in net income, which equates to a 51.2% net margin compared with 18.4% a year earlier. - Consensus narrative points to higher margin potential from integrating high grade Island Gold ore into the larger Magino mill. The current 51.2% trailing margin lines up with that view, although gold production over the last two reported quarters moved from 4.41 million ounces to 3.85 million ounces, which shows how closely those margins are tied to efficient operations and grade. ## Revenue Near US$600m, Production Mixed - Q1 2026 revenue of US$596.7m came alongside gold production of 3.85 million ounces. Q3 and Q2 2025 showed 4.41 million and 4.27 million ounces respectively on lower quarterly revenue, so volume and price are clearly both at work in the top line. - Consensus narrative talks about production expansion at Magino and Island Gold pushing annual output towards 900,000 to 1,000,000 ounces and supporting higher cash flow. The recent production data, with 16.96 million ounces over the trailing year versus 17.64 million ounces a few quarters earlier, reminds you that even with strong earnings growth of over 300% in the last year, execution at each mine has to line up with those growth plans. - Analysts also expect revenue to grow 17.6% per year and earnings 16.8% per year, which contrasts with the quarter to quarter swings in production you can already see in the reported figures. - The bullish view that expansion will steadily lift volumes is therefore partly supported by the strong trailing earnings, but the production pattern shows there is room for variability across periods. On the bullish side, investors who focus on that 312.6% earnings growth and strong margins might want to see how the full optimistic thesis ties these numbers to future projects and gold market views before deciding what it means for them personally. **🐂 Alamos Gold Bull Case** ## P/E Of 15.8x And Big Gap To DCF Fair Value - At a share price of CA$54.20, Alamos trades on a 15.8x P/E against a Canadian Metals & Mining average of 16.4x and a peer average of 19.7x. The stock also sits far below a DCF fair value of CA$209.79 and an analyst target of CA$82.38. - Bears highlight execution and cost risks at Island Gold and Magino, as well as sensitivity to gold prices. The valuation gap, with the market price well below both DCF fair value and the analyst target, shows that despite trailing net income of US$1.1b and a 59.7% 5 year annualized earnings growth rate, investors are still pricing in those risks and not simply extrapolating the recent 312.6% earnings expansion. - Analysts’ implied upside of roughly 52% to their target from CA$54.20 indicates that even after accounting for project and commodity risk, their expectations for earnings and revenue growth justify a higher valuation than the current P/E suggests. - For a reader, the key tension is that the strong trailing margin and earnings record supports the bullish case, while the discount to both peers and fair value estimates is consistent with cautious views around cost inflation and project delivery. Skeptical investors who focus on project risk and cost pressures may want to walk through a detailed bear case that sets these valuation gaps against the operational and gold price sensitivities that concern them most. **🐻 Alamos Gold Bear Case** ## Next Steps To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Alamos Gold on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. With that mix of optimism and caution in mind, take a moment to review the figures yourself and decide how they line up with your expectations. If you want to see what is currently exciting investors and how those positives are quantified, check out the 5 key rewards ## See What Else Is Out There The recent quarter shows mixed production trends and a wide gap between the current P/E and fair value estimates, which leaves execution and valuation risks firmly on the table. If those uncertainties make you want a broader set of ideas right now, compare this situation with companies screened as 11 resilient stocks with low risk scores to see which businesses line up better with your risk comfort zone. _This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. **We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.** It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned._ ### **New:** Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place We've created the **ultimate portfolio companion** for stock investors, **and it's free.** • Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency • Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile • Track the Fair Value of your stocks Try a Demo Portfolio for Free ### Related Stocks - [AGI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AGI.US.md) - [NEM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NEM.US.md) - [KGC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/KGC.US.md) - [600547.CN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/600547.CN.md) - [AAUC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AAUC.US.md) - [GOLD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOLD.US.md) - [AEM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AEM.US.md) - [GDXJ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GDXJ.US.md) - [SGOL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SGOL.US.md) - [IAU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IAU.US.md) - [GLD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GLD.US.md) - [UGL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/UGL.US.md) - [GDX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GDX.US.md) - [GOEX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOEX.US.md) - [518850.CN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/518850.CN.md) - [159562.CN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/159562.CN.md) - [GOAU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOAU.US.md) - [RING.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/RING.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [Alamos Gold (NYSE: AGI) Shows What Mid-Tier Growth Looks Like](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286141440.md) - [Allied Gold Reports Q1 2026 Results, Advances Growth Strategy and Progresses Transaction With Zijin Gold | AAUC Stock News](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286467479.md) - [AGNICO EAGLE ANNOUNCES INVESTMENT IN WALLBRIDGE MINING COMPANY LIMITED | AEM Stock News](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287063692.md) - [Canada's Allied Gold Q1 gold output rises 14%](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286468578.md) - [$1000 Invested In SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286819467.md)