--- title: "Iran war peace deal hopes; oil wavers around $100 - what’s moving markets" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/285510326.md" description: "Futures linked to U.S. stock averages are rising as investors anticipate a resolution to the Iran war, with oil prices hovering around $100 a barrel. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures have all seen gains, driven by optimism over peace talks between the U.S. and Iran. Meanwhile, oil prices remain elevated due to the conflict's impact on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, Shell reported a significant increase in earnings, reflecting strong performance across its sectors." datetime: "2026-05-07T08:16:21.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/285510326.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/285510326.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/285510326.md) generator: "portal-rs" --- # Iran war peace deal hopes; oil wavers around $100 - what’s moving markets Investing.com - Futures linked to the main U.S. averages point up, with investors eyeing hopes for a resolution to the war in Iran. Oil prices also hover around $100 a barrel, sinking from recent heights but still far above pre-war levels, as traders gauge the potential for a deal to reopen shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. \[\[pro\_promotion | Get more market insights with InvestingPro - now 50% off \]\] 1\. Futures edge up U.S. stock futures ticked higher on Thursday, suggesting an extension to solid gains notched in the prior session fueled by hopes for an imminent end to the Iran war. By 03:39 ET (07:39 GMT), the Dow futures contract had risen by 113 points, or 0.2%, S&P 500 futures had advanced 15 points, or 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures had increased by 77 points, or 0.3%. The main averages on Wall Street logged fresh record highs on Wednesday, buoyed by reports that the U.S. and Iran were nearing a deal to conclude their more than two-month old conflict. Chipmaking stocks were also buoyed by strong returns from Advanced Micro Devices, which indicated that an ongoing boom in enthusiasm around artificial intelligence remains in place. AI server maker Super Micro Computer was another notable outperformer, with its shares soaring by more than 24% on an upbeat quarterly revenue outlook. "\[S\] tocks exploded higher thanks to Iran optimism, another round of strong earnings, and additional fodder for AI bulls," analysts at Vital Knowledge said. 2\. Iran war conclusion hopes Washington and Tehran have reportedly been working with mediators on a one-page framework to once again restart talks over a lasting peace deal. The discussions are seen kicking off next week in Pakistan, according to the Wall Street Journal. The paper added that a monthlong process would then look to resolve disputes over Iran's nuclear ambitions and relief from sanctions, however key disagreements remain over areas like nuclear enrichment and inspections. President Donald Trump suggested in remarks at the White House on Wednesday afternoon that the U.S. had "won" the war and that talks with Tehran had been "very good" over the last 24 hours. Earlier in the day, Trump said in a social media post that the U.S. operation against Iran, which it launched jointly with Israel in late February, would be over if Tehran "agrees to give what has been agreed to," although he did not elaborate further. He also threatened to carry out renewed attacks should an accord not be reached. Iran, meanwhile, has provided more mixed messaging. The country's foreign minister has claimed that Iranian officials are reviewing a U.S. proposal and would convey its opinion to Pakistan, a frequent mediator between Washington and Tehran. But other media reports cited an Iranian official who described the U.S. peace plan as an American wish list. According to CNN, Iran is anticipated to give mediators their response by Thursday. 3\. Oil prices hover around $100 Oil prices have been oscillating around the $100 a barrel level against this backdrop, with traders attempting to determine the outlook for a weeks-long shuttering of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, were last trading down by 2% at $99.23 a barrel. Energy prices have skyrocketed since the start of the conflict, due largely to the effective closure of the strait, a major thoroughfare for around a fifth of the world's oil. Despite the latest move downwards, oil prices are still well above pre-war levels. The energy shock forces gasoline pump prices in the U.S. above $4.50 a gallon, levels not seen since the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022. But Trump has expressed some surprise that oil prices have not moved even higher, telling reporters that he thought they would "go to $200, $250." Even if crude had reached such heights, he added, the war in Iran would have been "worth it." 4\. U.S., China mulling AI talks - WSJ Washington and Beijing are considering launching official discussions on artificial intelligence, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The considerations come with the two also potentially putting AI on the agenda for a U.S.-China summit in Beijing next week, between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping. A key point of focus for both sides are the potential risks posed by AI models behaving erratically, autonomous military systems, and AI-driven attacks by non-state actors, the WSJ report said. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will lead the American side of AI discussions, while Beijing is yet to designate its counterpart, the WSJ reported. 5\. Shell reports Shell’s adjusted earnings rose to $6.92 billion in the first quarter of 2026, topping the analyst consensus of $6.36 billion and up from $5.58 billion a year earlier. The surge in profit reflects stronger trading and optimization contributions across Downstream and Renewables, higher realized prices, improved refining margins, and lower operating costs, the company said. The oil major also scaled back its quarterly share buyback program to $3 billion, from $3.5 billion the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $17.7 billion from $15.3 billion in the year-ago quarter, while cash flow from operations came in at $6.1 billion, weighed down by an $11.2 billion working capital outflow linked to commodity price movements on inventories and receivables. ### Related Stocks - [OXY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/OXY.US.md) - [SHEL.WI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SHEL.WI.US.md) - [SHEL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SHEL.US.md) - [.SPX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.SPX.US.md) - [.DJI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.DJI.US.md) - [BP.UK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BP.UK.md) - [RDSB.UK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/RDSB.UK.md) - [IEZ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IEZ.US.md) - [XLE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/XLE.US.md) - [AMLP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AMLP.US.md) - [OIH.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/OIH.US.md) - [EMLP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/EMLP.US.md) - [XOP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/XOP.US.md) - [VDE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/VDE.US.md) - [USO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/USO.US.md) - [IXC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IXC.US.md) - [IEO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IEO.US.md) - [MLPA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MLPA.US.md) - [SHEH.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SHEH.US.md) - [CRAK.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/CRAK.US.md) - [TPYP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TPYP.US.md) - [UCO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/UCO.US.md) - [BNO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BNO.US.md) - [.NDX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.NDX.US.md) - [AMD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AMD.US.md) - [SMCI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SMCI.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [ARC RESOURCES LTD. 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