---
title: "CME: Fed Likely to Maintain Rates Through July"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/286003377.md"
description: "CME's FedWatch tool shows a 97.7% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady through June, with only a 2.3% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By July, the probability of maintaining rates drops slightly to 94.6%, while the chances of a 25 basis point cut rise to 5.4%, and a 50 basis point cut remains at 0.1%."
datetime: "2026-05-11T22:01:56.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286003377.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286003377.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286003377.md)
---

# CME: Fed Likely to Maintain Rates Through July

According to Jin10, CME's FedWatch tool indicates a 97.7% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by June, with a 2.3% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. By July, the probability of maintaining the current rates is 94.6%, while the chances of a cumulative 25 basis point cut stand at 5.4%, and a 50 basis point cut at 0.1%.

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