--- title: "Breakfast | US Stocks Under Pressure, Chip Stocks Lead Decline!" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/286167206.md" description: "US CPI inflation heated up more than expected, putting pressure on US stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell from record highs, while the Dow Jones managed a narrow three-day winning streak. The chip index closed down 3%, with Qualcomm dropping over 10%, Intel nearly 7%, and SanDisk over 6%. However, Nvidia turned positive after falling more than 2% intraday, setting another new closing record high. Software stocks generally declined, with Salesforce down over 3% and GitLab, which disclosed restructuring plans related to agentic AI, down about 10%" datetime: "2026-05-12T23:19:42.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286167206.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286167206.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286167206.md) --- # Breakfast | US Stocks Under Pressure, Chip Stocks Lead Decline! ## Market Overview US CPI inflation heated up more than expected, putting pressure on US stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell from record highs, while the Dow Jones managed a narrow three-day winning streak. The chip index closed down 3%, with Qualcomm dropping over 10%, Intel nearly 7%, and SanDisk over 6%. However, Nvidia turned positive after falling more than 2% intraday, setting another new closing record high. Software stocks generally declined, with Salesforce down over 3% and GitLab, which disclosed restructuring plans related to agentic AI, down about 10%. GameStop, whose acquisition offer was rejected by eBay, fell 3.5%. JD.com rose over 3% as its Q1 revenue growth exceeded expectations. With uncertainty surrounding the UK Prime Minister's tenure and increased fiscal risks, the yield on 30-year UK gilts rose more than 10 basis points intraday, hitting a new high since 1998, while the pound hit a monthly low intraday. Following the US CPI data, the yield on 30-year US Treasuries climbed back above the 5.0% mark. The US Dollar Index rose for two consecutive sessions to a one-week high, with gains widening after the US CPI release. The yen fell for two consecutive sessions but briefly spiked intraday, possibly signaling impending intervention by Japan. The offshore renminbi once rose to 6.79, approaching a three-year high, before turning lower. Bitcoin fell below $80,000 intraday, dropping more than 2% from its daily high. The stalemate between the US and Iran continued, causing crude oil to surge intraday for several days. Crude oil posted a three-day gain, closing at a one-week high. WTI crude rose nearly 5% intraday, while Brent crude rose over 4%. Gold futures fell nearly 2% intraday, closing lower for the second consecutive day to a one-week low. Silver futures ended a five-day winning streak, falling nearly 3% at one point before turning higher to close up over 1%. Driven by fund buying, LME copper and COMEX copper both continued to set new closing highs. During the Asian session, the Shanghai Composite Index adjusted with shrinking volume. The power sector bucked the trend to rise, and Zhongji Innolight became a "1,000-yuan stock." The Hang Seng Tech Index fell nearly 1%, with most internet and technology stocks adjusting. ## Headlines > **China** > > The White House released a list stating that 16 US business leaders will accompany Trump on his visit to China; Jensen Huang was absent as he was not invited. > > JD.com's Q1 revenue increased nearly 5% year-on-year, beating expectations. Adjusted EBITDA profit fell 14% year-on-year but remained far stronger than expected, while losses in its food delivery business narrowed significantly quarter-on-quarter. > > Pop Mart's Q1 revenue is projected to increase by 75% to 80%. Growth in European and American markets slowed, while online channels in China are expected to grow by 150%. > > Unitree Robotics launched the world's first mass-produced manned transforming mecha, the GD01, with a starting price of 3.9 million yuan. The CEO personally test-drove it. > > **Overseas** > > Under the impact of the conflict with Iran, US inflation unexpectedly ran "hot." April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high, while core CPI expansion widened to 2.8%. The "New Fed Communications Channel" commented on the April CPI: Rate cuts are no longer a 2026 story, and Warsh is in trouble. > > The US Court of Appeals suspended the ruling against Trump's 10% global tariff, meaning tariffs will continue to be collected. > > The US Senate confirmed Warsh as a Federal Reserve Governor. The vote confirming the Fed Chair could be completed as early as Wednesday. > > Iran stated that the prerequisites for negotiations with the US are ending the war and lifting the blockade. Trump said he is in no hurry to resolve the conflict with Iran and will consider red lines for ending the war on the plane, stating that preventing Iran from possessing nuclear weapons is "just a matter of time." The US Secretary of Defense stated that the ceasefire agreement remains valid. A US Department of Defense official said costs for operations against Iran have risen to $29 billion. The UK will dispatch fighter jets and warships to the multinational escort operation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iraq and Pakistan reportedly signed agreements with Iran respectively for energy transport. > > The Middle East "shadow war" intensifies: After the UAE, Saudi Arabia was also exposed for secretly attacking Iran. Kuwait claimed Iran attempted an "armed infiltration" of strategic islands in the Persian Gulf. Clashes occurred, and four people were arrested. Iran responded that Kuwait's claims were "baseless" and that patrol boats entered Kuwaiti territorial waters due to a "navigation failure." > > South Korea's proposal for an "AI National Dividend" caused the stock market to plunge 5% at one point. Officials urgently clarified: It is not a corporate windfall tax. > > India significantly raised import tariffs on gold and silver by more than double to 15% to curb imports and boost the rupee. > > OpenAI splashed out $4 billion to compete for FDE (Frontline Deployment Engineers), revealing that the ultimate destination for software engineers is on-site deployment. > > Report: Anthropic seeks $30 billion in financing, with valuation approaching $1 trillion. Anthropic launched over ten legal AI tools, covering contract review to bar exam preparation. ## Market Close European and US Stocks: The S&P 500 fell 0.16% to 7,400.96 points; the Dow Jones rose 0.11% to 49,760.56 points; the Nasdaq fell 0.71% to 26,088.203 points. The European STOXX 600 Index fell 1.01% to 606.63 points. A-Shares: The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.25% to 4,214.49 points. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.47% to 15,824.92 points. The ChiNext Index rose 0.15% to 3,934.88 points. Bond Market: By the end of the bond market session, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury was approximately 4.46%, rising about 5 basis points intraday. The yield on the 2-year US Treasury was approximately 3.99%, rising about 4 basis points intraday. Commodities: WTI June crude oil futures closed up 4.19% at $102.18 per barrel. Brent July crude oil futures closed up 3.42% at $107.77 per barrel. COMEX May gold futures closed down 0.87% at $4,677.6 per ounce. COMEX May silver futures closed down 0.42% at $85.13 per ounce. COMEX May copper futures closed up 1.11% at $6.485 per pound. LME copper futures closed up nearly 0.6% at $14,021 per ton. ### **Global Highlights** #### **China** According to CCTV, the White House released a list stating that 16 US business leaders will accompany Trump on his visit to China. CCTV reported that, according to multiple US media outlets, a total of 16 US business representatives will come to Beijing. The US companies they represent cover various fields including technology, finance, aviation, and agriculture. - In the technology sector, US corporate representatives visiting China include Tesla CEO Musk, Apple CEO Cook, and heads of semiconductor companies such as Qualcomm and Micron. In the financial sector, heads of US firms visiting China come from Wall Street giants such as Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and BlackRock. Additionally, Boeing Company and Cargill represent the aviation and agriculture sectors, respectively. - Reports state that Musk, Cook, BlackRock, Micron CEO, and others will accompany Trump to China, while Jensen Huang is absent due to not being invited. It is understood that the focus of this trip is on agriculture and commercial aviation (such as potential large orders for Boeing), and chips are not the core agenda. JD.com's Q1 revenue increased nearly 5% year-on-year, beating expectations. Adjusted EBITDA profit fell 14% year-on-year but remained far stronger than expected, while losses in its food delivery business narrowed significantly quarter-on-quarter. Q1 service revenue grew by 20.6%, with its proportion rising to 22.4%. General merchandise grew by 14.9%, effectively offsetting the decline in the 3C category. Net profit decreased year-on-year due to investments in food delivery and a fine of 635 million yuan. Logistics revenue grew by 29%. Losses in new businesses expanded to 10.3 billion yuan but have narrowed quarter-on-quarter. European retail and embodied intelligence have become new strategic directions. Pop Mart's Q1 revenue is projected to increase by 75% to 80%. Growth in European and American markets slowed, while online channels in China are expected to grow by 150%. Pop Mart's business announcement for the first quarter of 2026 shows outstanding performance in the Chinese market, with revenue expected to grow by 100% to 105%. Among these, online channel growth reached 150% to 155%, becoming the biggest highlight. In overseas markets, the Americas, Europe, and other regions all achieved growth of 55% to 65%, while the Asia-Pacific region grew by 25% to 30%, showing obvious characteristics of multi-regional synergistic growth. Unitree Robotics launched the world's first mass-produced manned transforming mecha GD01, with a starting price of 3.9 million yuan. The CEO personally test-drove it. This company, which completed a "triple jump" from "robot dog → humanoid robot → manned mecha" within two years, achieved annual revenue of 1.7 billion yuan in 2025. The proportion of its humanoid robot business exceeded 50%, with a gross margin nearing 60%. Currently, Unitree Technology is sprinting towards the STAR Market, aiming to become the first listed humanoid robot company in the A-share market. #### **Overseas** US inflation unexpectedly ran "hot." April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high, while core CPI expansion widened to 2.8%. The impact of the conflict with Iran is permeating the price system through energy, airfare, and transportation costs. Memory chip costs are experiencing uncontrollable rises due to the continuing heat of the "AI race." Additionally, the BLS made a one-time correction to the distortion in rent and housing data caused by the government shutdown last October, which also constituted a technical disturbance to this period's data. - What does the April CPI mean? "New Fed Communications Channel": Rate cuts are no longer a 2026 story, and Warsh is in trouble. Nick Timiraos believes that the April CPI will not change the basic hawkish or dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, but if subsequent data continues like this, doves will be more passive. Future Federal Reserve discussions will mainly depend on whether fuel and commodity transportation in the Persian Gulf can return to normal. If disruptions continue, it will be difficult for internal discussions to marginalize the issue of rate hikes. - Analysts stated that traders are increasingly inclined to believe that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates at all this year, and even if it does, it is more likely to be delayed until later in the year. Some Wall Street institutions have begun discussing whether rate hikes are needed. The US Court of Appeals suspended the ruling against Trump's 10% global tariff, meaning tariffs will continue to be collected. The US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issued an administrative stay, maintaining the validity of the tariffs during the appeal period. Relevant tariffs will continue to be collected, and importers must still pay as usual. Previously, the US Court of International Trade ruled the tariff policy invalid. The Trump administration argued that if the ruling took effect immediately, it would disrupt the President's economic agenda and interfere with ongoing foreign trade negotiations. The US Senate confirmed Warsh as a Federal Reserve Governor. The vote confirming the Fed Chair could be completed as early as Wednesday. The US Senate confirmed Warsh as a Federal Reserve Governor on Tuesday for a 14-year term, paving the way for him to succeed Powell as Fed Chair. Meanwhile, the Senate has begun the confirmation process for Warsh's four-year term as Fed Chair, with voting potentially completed as early as Wednesday. Powell's term as Chair expires this Friday. Iran stated that the prerequisites for negotiations with the US are ending the war and lifting the blockade. Trump said he is in no hurry to resolve the conflict with Iran and will consider red lines for ending the war on the plane. - According to Iranian media, Iran has conveyed five prerequisites to the US side through Pakistani mediators: ending the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon; unfreezing frozen Iranian funds; compensating for war losses; and recognizing Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. - Trump stated that preventing Iran from possessing nuclear weapons is "just a matter of time." The US Secretary of Defense stated that the ceasefire agreement remains valid, and Trump does not need Congressional authorization to restart military operations against Iran. A US Department of Defense official said costs for operations against Iran have risen to $29 billion. - The UK stated it will dispatch fighter jets and warships to the multinational escort operation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iraq and Pakistan reportedly signed agreements with Iran respectively for energy transport. - Middle East "shadow war" intensifies: After the UAE, Saudi Arabia was also exposed for secretly attacking Iran. According to reports, Saudi Arabia launched multiple undisclosed airstrikes inside Iran in March to retaliate for previous attacks by Iran against Saudi territory. Saudi Arabia has since maintained contact with Iran through diplomatic channels in an attempt to prevent the outbreak of full-scale war. This is the earliest known instance of a Gulf Arab country directly implementing military strikes on Iranian territory during the current US-Iran conflict. - Is the Middle East "covert war" escalating? Kuwait claims Iran attempted "armed infiltration" of strategic islands in the Persian Gulf. Iran responds that Kuwait's claims are "baseless". The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that Iranian patrol boats entered Kuwaiti territorial waters due to a "navigation failure." Earlier on Tuesday, Kuwait stated that members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard infiltrated Bubiyan Island from the sea to carry out "hostile actions." Clashes occurred, and four people were arrested. Bahrain announced that at least 24 people were sentenced to prison for espionage and collusion with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. On the same day, US officials stated that Israel had deployed the "Iron Dome" air defense system in the UAE, marking the first deployment of the "Iron Dome" in a country other than the US and Israel. South Korea's proposal for an "AI National Dividend" caused the stock market to plunge 5% at one point. Officials urgently clarified: It is not a corporate windfall tax. The South Korean Presidential Office's proposal to establish an "AI Citizen Dividend" triggered severe shocks in the stock market, with the Kospi Index plunging 5.1% intraday at one point. Although officials subsequently clarified that the funds would come from "excess taxes" rather than a windfall tax, easing market sentiment, the background of surging profits for giants like Samsung and unions demanding profit sharing means that wealth redistribution in the AI era has become a significant policy risk, putting greater volatility pressure on the highly concentrated South Korean stock market. - South Korea's AI dividend: After the flash crash, the suspense has just begun. A Facebook post caused the South Korean stock market to plummet 7% from the doorstep of 8,000 points. The head of the Presidential Policy Office threw out the term "national dividend," igniting market panic about Samsung and SK Hynix being subjected to excess profit taxes—the two combined account for 42.2% of the index. An undefined term has become the most expensive suspense hanging over the South Korean bull market. India significantly raised import tariffs on gold and silver to 15% to curb imports and boost the rupee. India announced a significant increase in import tariffs on gold and silver from 6% to 15%. Indian Prime Minister Modi called on the public to avoid buying gold for one year to alleviate the trade deficit and help protect foreign exchange reserves. As the world's second-largest consumer of precious metals, industry insiders expect that compliant import volumes will decline again after the significant tariff increase, directly suppressing demand for physical gold. OpenAI splashed out $4 billion to compete for FDE, revealing that the ultimate destination for software engineers is on-site deployment. OpenAI spent $4 billion to establish a "Deployment Company" and acquired the consulting firm Tomoro, going all-in on "Frontline Deployment Engineers (FDE)." This move marks a shift in AI competition from model parameters to enterprise implementation capabilities. As demand for traditional software engineers plummeted by 70%, demand for FDEs, who can go deep into customer sites to promote true AI implementation, surged by nearly 1000%, becoming the most sought-after talent in the second half of the AI game. Report: Anthropic seeks $30 billion in financing, with valuation approaching $1 trillion. Reports state that Anthropic is seeking to raise at least $30 billion at a pre-money valuation of over $900 billion. This financing could be completed as early as the end of this month, but the agreement has not yet been finalized, and the term sheet has not been signed. If this round of financing is achieved, Anthropic will surpass OpenAI in private market valuation. OpenAI's most recent valuation was $852 billion. - Anthropic launched over ten legal AI tools, covering contract review to bar exam preparation. Legal AI tools will be available to paid users through Claude Cowork. The legal industry is considered one of the fields with high potential for AI substitution due to the large volume of document processing and concentrated repetitive work. Mark Pike, Deputy General Counsel at Anthropic, stated that lawyers are the professional group with the highest usage rate of Claude, aside from software developers. #### **Selected Research Reports** Dilemma for the New Fed Chief: Cut rates and inflation skyrockets, don't cut and face lawsuit from Trump. The new Fed Chief, Warsh, is set to be confirmed this week but is already in a desperate situation: The war in Iran has pushed inflation to 3.5%, and the FOMC has seen the most dissenting votes in thirty years. Trump is not only publicly pressuring for rate cuts but also threatening lawsuits. Cutting rates leads to out-of-control inflation, while not cutting raises political risks sharply—this crisis of central bank independence may reshape the global monetary policy landscape. The ghost of stagflation returns: Which parts of the 1970s asset script still hold today? Fifty-three years ago, Fed Chair Burns characterized the oil price shock as an "exogenous variable," after which inflation ran out of control for seven years. Today, new Chair Warsh is almost replicating the same logic—CPI has risen to 3.7%, and the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked. The historical script is knocking at the door. However, three structural differences determine that this is not a complete replica of the 1970s, but a more precise game of asset differentiation. From Hynix bonuses and Samsung strikes to national dividends, soaring Korean stocks are stunned. Is this a preview of the AI era? The issue of AI profit distribution in South Korea has been fermenting simultaneously on multiple levels—wage negotiations in factory workshops, public statements at the policy level, and record current account surpluses flowing overseas instead of domestically. Several lines collided on the same trading day, placing an important question squarely on the table: If AI truly creates unprecedented wealth concentration, how should we price the risk of redistributing this money? Memory is "destroying everything". Rising memory prices are spreading violently from the AI industry outward—mobile phones are being downgraded, computers are becoming more expensive, and game consoles are facing production difficulties, even giving rise to theft gangs specializing in stealing memory sticks. Manufacturers are frantically switching production to high-profit AI chips, marginalizing ordinary consumers. From the tech circle to the automotive industry, and even to the South Korean blind date market, this AI-driven memory bubble is reshaping and "destroying" the daily ecosystem. #### **Domestic Macro** Six major signals from the PBOC Q1 Monetary Policy Report: "RRR and rate cuts" deleted. Guosheng Securities stated that this report focuses on two aspects: First, regarding policy operations, "flexibly and efficiently use various policy tools such as RRR and rate cuts" was adjusted to "flexibly use various monetary policy tools," and "RRR and rate cuts" were deleted, indicating a decreased probability of short-term RRR and rate cuts. Second, new emphasis was added on "better coordinating domestic and international overall situations," focusing on "enhancing the resilience of the foreign exchange market" and the risk of "externally imported inflation." Second-hand home transactions in first-tier cities continue to hit new highs, but buyers generally do not use sufficient leverage. Shanghai saw 28,742 second-hand home online signings in April, hitting a new high for the same period in nearly ten years. Beijing and Shenzhen also successively broke records. However, there is a clear temperature difference between hot transactions and the warming of credit—buyers generally do not use sufficient leverage. Industry insiders stated that although second-hand home transactions are active, the market shows obvious characteristics of "trading price for volume." The recovery speed of the total transaction amount is much slower than the growth in the number of transactions, which to some extent weakens the scale effect of credit issuance. Fiction and AI must be clear at a glance! Cyberspace Administration of China: Platforms must select 6 types of labels when publishing short videos. The Cyberspace Administration of China is comprehensively promoting the labeling of short video content, clarifying three core requirements: First, platforms must provide 6 mandatory labels such as "fictional deduction" and "AI-generated"; Second, content labeling is set as a mandatory step for publication, and publishers must select one to publish; Third, strengthen new audits and retrospective reviews of existing content, and strictly punish and expose accounts and platforms that do not label according to regulations. #### **Domestic Companies** "Chinese Google"! Citi predicts: Alibaba Cloud's AI-related revenue CAGR will reach 90% in the next five years, and MaaS growth will reach 235%. As Alibaba Cloud begins to "build from chips to models" like Google, a fundamental transformation in revenue structure is occurring. Alibaba has laid out four areas of the complete vertical chain of the AI industry—energy, chips, infrastructure, models, and applications. Citi predicts that Alibaba Cloud's AI-related revenue will soar from 24 billion yuan this year to 585.5 billion yuan in 2031 at a 90% CAGR, with its proportion of total cloud revenue jumping from 15% to 70%. Among these, the "selling models" MaaS business has a growth rate as high as 235%. Tencent's Zhang Jun: WeChat's "read" and "visitor" functions are "welded shut." Testing of WeChat status viewer counts has stopped. Regarding rumors about WeChat status "visitor records," a Tencent employee clarified: The gray-scale testing was only for displaying viewer counts (not showing specific visitors), and it has now stopped. Public Relations Director Zhang Jun emphasized that the "read" and "visitor" functions are "welded shut" and will never be developed to protect users from social pressure. Shenzhen couple precisely hoarded storage chips, with inventory reaching 12.19 billion yuan. Their net worth soared by 32 billion yuan in 5 months. The AI trend exploded the storage chip market, and Li Hu, founder of Shenzhen Demingli, and his wife precisely hoarded goods in advance. The company's inventory soared to 12.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 177.4%. Riding the wave of tight industry supply and demand and rising product prices, the couple's net worth soared by 32 billion yuan in just 5 months. The company's Q1 performance reversed significantly, far exceeding the sum of profits from the past ten years. Hengrui Medicine and Bristol Myers Squibb reached a strategic cooperation agreement worth $15.2 billion, causing the stock price to skyrocket. Hengrui Medicine and Bristol Myers Squibb reached their largest licensing collaboration to date, with a potential total transaction value of up to $15.2 billion, covering the joint development of 13 early-stage innovative drugs. The upfront payment alone reached $600 million. The news stimulated Hengrui Medicine's Hong Kong shares to rise over 14% at one point, and A-shares rose nearly 6%. **Overseas Macro** CME plans to launch computing power futures, targeting the "new oil" of the AI era. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is partnering with Silicon Data to launch computing power futures, aiming to provide AI developers and financial institutions with tools to hedge against fluctuations in computing power prices. The product will be priced based on the GPU benchmark index compiled by Silicon Data and is currently awaiting regulatory approval. Japanese Finance Minister: Bessent has "full understanding" of yen intervention policy. The Japanese Finance Minister stated that Bessent has "full understanding" of the authorities' yen intervention policy, and communication between the two sides was "extremely smooth." After the meeting, the yen briefly rose by about 100 points before quickly falling back to 157, casting doubt on the effectiveness of the official yen intervention policy. Analysts warned that if it breaks below the 158 level, a new round of intervention could be triggered at any time. The real key to the yen's trend is the suspense over whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates. Indian stock market is being abandoned by capital. The Indian stock market is facing the most severe foreign capital exodus in thirty years. Since the beginning of the year, net foreign outflows have been about $21 billion, and shareholding ratios have dropped to a 14-year low. The main reasons for the capital flight are excessive valuations and the lack of core AI targets, leading global capital to turn to other Asian semiconductor markets. Goldman Sachs warned that although selling pressure will slow down, the market may fall into long-term sideways fluctuation before valuation attractiveness returns. India's April CPI rose to 3.48%, rising for six consecutive months. Risk of imported energy inflation is accumulating. India's April CPI rose 3.48% year-on-year, rising for six consecutive months but lower than market expectations, providing the central bank with a brief policy buffer. However, dual pressures from energy and climate are accumulating: India, with nearly 90% dependence on crude oil imports, faces imported pressure from international oil prices consistently above $100 per barrel. Coupled with climate risks such as heatwaves and weaker-than-expected monsoons, food prices may rise further. Analysts believe that the upside risk to inflation is clearly visible, and the trade-offs faced by the central bank at the June monetary policy meeting will be more delicate. #### **Overseas Companies** Report: SpaceX is in talks with Google about orbital data center cooperation. Musk positions orbital data centers as SpaceX's next core growth pole, occupying an important position in its investor roadshow for the planned IPO this summer. Google has already begun independent deployment in the field of orbital data centers, and its CEO believes that orbital data centers will become common in ten years. If their cooperation is achieved, it will reshape the competitive landscape of this new track. ## Today's Headlines Preview US President Trump pays a state visit to China. US April PPI. Eurozone Q1 GDP. Speeches by Boston Fed President Collins, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Logan. ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. Tencent and Alibaba announce financial reports. Baidu AI Developer Conference. OPEC+ releases monthly crude oil market report. 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