--- title: "Stocks end mixed as Fed hike odds rise sharply" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/286329532.md" description: "Stocks closed mixed with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining, while the Dow fell, indicating differing investor sentiment amid rising rate hike expectations. The likelihood of a 2026 rate cut has decreased to about 5%, while the chance of a hike has increased to nearly 22% due to ongoing inflation. Additionally, rising volatility at record highs has historically signaled potential market pullbacks, prompting caution among investors." datetime: "2026-05-13T23:31:18.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286329532.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286329532.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286329532.md) --- # Stocks end mixed as Fed hike odds rise sharply Mixed market close: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained while the Dow slipped, reflecting diverging investor sentiment as rate hike expectations grow. Fed outlook shifts: Market odds of a 2026 rate cut have dropped to about 5%, while chances of a hike rose to nearly 22% amid persistent inflation. Historical warning signs: Rising volatility with record highs has previously preceded significant market pullbacks, raising caution for investors. ### Related Stocks - [.NDX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.NDX.US.md) - [.VIX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.VIX.US.md) - [.SPX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.SPX.US.md) - [.DJI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.DJI.US.md) - [.IXIC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.IXIC.US.md) - [TQQQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TQQQ.US.md) - [QID.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QID.US.md) - [PSQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/PSQ.US.md) - [QLD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QLD.US.md) - [QQEW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QQEW.US.md) - [SPXL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPXL.US.md) - [DIA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/DIA.US.md) - [DJD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/DJD.US.md) - [USMV.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/USMV.US.md) - [SCHG.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SCHG.US.md) - [SDOW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SDOW.US.md) - [RSP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/RSP.US.md) - [SDS.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SDS.US.md) - [MGK.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MGK.US.md) - [QQWZ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QQWZ.US.md) - [VIXY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/VIXY.US.md) - [QQQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QQQ.US.md) - [QYLD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QYLD.US.md) - [DDM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/DDM.US.md) - [SPY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPY.US.md) - [SPXS.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPXS.US.md) - [IYY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IYY.US.md) - [SQQQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SQQQ.US.md) - [IWF.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IWF.US.md) - [VOO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/VOO.US.md) - [UDOW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/UDOW.US.md) - [UVXY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/UVXY.US.md) - [IVV.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IVV.US.md) - [QQQM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QQQM.US.md) - [SPDN.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPDN.US.md) - [SPUU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPUU.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [Fed's Goolsbee; Inflation has got to be front of mind when Warsh starts as chair](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286812315.md) - [Fed's Paulson says current policy appropriate, but 'healthy' to consider extended hold or hikes](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286974730.md) - [From bad to worse: The Federal Reserve's May inflation forecast is terrible news for stock investors](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286510546.md) - [A new day at the Fed, but policy forecast cloudy for Warsh, Trump, US](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286750351.md) - [Fed meeting minutes could show interest rate hikes are back on the table](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287009721.md)