--- title: "Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Five-day Selloff Breaks May Lows—1.16 Now in Focus" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/286593039.md" description: "EUR/USD has experienced a five-day selloff, breaking below the May opening range and approaching major support near 1.16. The decline reflects increasing downside momentum, with key support levels at 1.1598-1.1603 and 1.1578. A break below these levels could lead to further downtrend acceleration, while stabilization may allow for a recovery. Resistance is noted at 1.1667/82 and 1.1731/46. Traders are advised to monitor these levels closely as the economic calendar remains light next week." datetime: "2026-05-15T16:20:19.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286593039.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286593039.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286593039.md) --- # Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Five-day Selloff Breaks May Lows—1.16 Now in Focus ## **Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Short-term Trade Levels** - EUR/USD has broken below the May opening range after five consecutive daily declines. - Downside momentum is accelerating as price approaches major support near 1.16. - Short-term exhaustion risk is rising as Euro nears a key technical inflection zone. - A break below support would threaten a broader extension of the downtrend- while stabilization could fuel recovery within broader downtrend. - Resistance 1.1667/82, 1.1731/46 (key), 1.1814/26- Support 1.1598-1.1603, 1.1578 (key), 1.1483/97 EUR/USD remains under heavy pressure after breaking below the May opening range, with the pair extending a five-day selloff towards major technical support near the 1.16-handle. The decline reflects accelerating downside momentum following last month’s rejection at key resistance, bringing the focus to a critical zone that could determine whether the move stabilizes or extends into a broader breakdown. While the immediate trend remains bearish, the proximity of key support raises the risk of near-term exhaustion as the selloff deepens. Battle lines drawn on the Euro short-term technical charts. Review my latest **Weekly Strategy Webinar** for an in-depth breakdown of this EUR/USD technical setup and more. **Join live** Monday’s at 8:30am EST. ### **Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD Daily** _Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;_ _EUR/USD on TradingView_ **Technical Outlook:** In last month’s **Euro Short-term Technical Outlook** we noted that EUR/USD had, “turned from confluent resistance last week with the pullback now approaching uptrend support. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce short-exposure lower protective stops on a stretch towards the lower parallel- rallies would need to be limited to 1.1826 IF price is heading lower on _this_ stretch with a close below 1.1667 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.” Euro rebounded off key support into the close of the month with price carving the May opening just above. A break lower today marks the fifth consecutive daily decline with the losses now extending more than 1.9% off the April high. Near-term support objectives are now in view and the focus and the risk for possible exhaustion / price inflection rises heading into the 1.16-handle. ### **Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD 240min** _Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;_ _EUR/USD on TradingView_ **Notes:** A closer look at Euro price action shows EUR/USD trading within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the April / May highs. Initial support is now in view at the January low close and the 100% extension of the April decline at **1.1598-1.1603** and is backed closely by the 61.8% retracement of the March advance at **1.1578**. Note that the lower parallel converges on this level over the next few days and losses below this critical zone would threaten downtrend acceleration. The next major technical consideration rests at **1.1483/97**\- a region defined by the 1.618% extension, the March 2020 & 2022 highs, and the November low-day close (LDC). Look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial resistance is now eyed at former support near **1.1671/82**\- a region defined by the March 10 swing high, the 200-day moving average, and the 38.2% retracement of the advance off the yearly low. Note that the median-line converges on this threshold into the close of next week. Broader _bearish_ invalidation is now lowered to the objective monthly & yearly opens at **1.1731/46**\- a topside breach / daily close above this zone would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place and a larger reversal is underway. Key resistance remains at the **1.1813/26** Fibonacci cluster. **Bottom line:** Euro has broken the May opening range lows with a five-day decline now approaching initial support at the multi-week downtrend. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops on a stretch towards 1.16- rallies should be limited to 1.1681 IF price is heading lower on _this_ stretch with a close below 1.1587 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline. Keep in mind the economic calendar is rather light next week with Eurozone PMI data headlining the docket. Stay nimble into these lows and watch the weekly closes here for guidance. Review my latest **Euro Technical Forecast** for a closer look at the longer-term EUR/USD trade levels. ### **Key EUR/USD Economic Data Releases** **Economic Calendar** **-** latest economic developments and upcoming event risk. ### **Active Short-term Technical Charts** - Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound Stalls at Resistance—Range Breakout in Focus - Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Pullback Tests Uptrend Support—Next Move Critical - US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Pressures Support—Breakdown Risk Builds - British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Tests Breakout—False Break Risk - Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Rebound Tests Downtrend Resistance - Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Reverses Hard from Resistance- Breakdown Risk Builds - Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bulls Eye Yearly High- Fed on Tap \--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist Follow Michael on Twitter **@MBForex** ### Related Stocks - [FXE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/FXE.US.md) - [EUO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/EUO.US.md) - [ULE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ULE.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [EUR/USD continues its run lower amid increasing Fed hike bets, surging Treasury yields](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287040919.md) - [Futures aren't open yet, but early FX is pointing to risk off gap](https://longbridge.com/en/news/285852260.md) - [Traders touch less certain of June rate hike as ECB grapples with Iran war](https://longbridge.com/en/news/284780283.md) - [European banks push euro stablecoin with exchange partnerships](https://longbridge.com/en/news/277594965.md) - [Euro could fall if long-dated yields rise further](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286736442.md)