--- title: "NorthWestern Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Headwinds" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/286996024.md" description: "NorthWestern's Q1 earnings call highlighted a cautiously optimistic outlook, with adjusted EPS rising 7.4% year-over-year to $1.31. Shareholder support for the Black Hills merger was overwhelming at 99.7%. The company anticipates no common equity issuance in 2026 but may need it in 2027. Challenges include higher operating costs, a warm winter impacting demand, and regulatory uncertainties. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.67, targeting an 8%-10% total return through growth and dividends." datetime: "2026-05-20T02:58:06.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286996024.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286996024.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286996024.md) --- # NorthWestern Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Headwinds Northwestern ((NWE)) has held its Q1 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call. ### Claim 55% Off TipRanks - Unlock hedge fund-level data and powerful investing tools for smarter, sharper decisions - Discover top-performing stock ideas and upgrade to a portfolio of market leaders with Smart Investor Picks NorthWestern’s latest earnings call struck a cautiously optimistic tone as management balanced solid financial progress with a slate of short‑term headwinds. Adjusted earnings rose, long‑term growth guidance was reaffirmed and shareholder backing for the pending Black Hills merger was overwhelming, yet weather, cost pressures and regulatory timing tempered the near‑term outlook. ## Adjusted EPS Growth and Guidance Reaffirmed NorthWestern reported GAAP diluted EPS of $1.03 and adjusted EPS of $1.31 for the quarter, with adjusted earnings up 7.4% year over year. Management reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $3.68–$3.83 and maintained its long‑term EPS and rate base growth target of 4%–6%. ## Overwhelming Shareholder Support for Black Hills Merger Roughly 86% of shareholders participated in the vote and an extraordinary 99.7% of votes supported the merger with Black Hills. The company has also reached settlements with key intervenors in Montana, Nebraska and South Dakota, helping to advance the regulatory approval process. ## Data Center Pipeline Scales to 1.1 GW NorthWestern signed a development agreement with Quantica, bringing its total data center development agreements to three. The Quantica project lifts the company’s large‑load pipeline to 1.1 GW, with an initial ramp targeted for early 2029 and a full ramp around 2031. ## Dividend and Targeted Total Return The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.67 per share, reinforcing a standalone dividend yield of about 4%. Management is targeting an 8%–10% total return profile through 4%–6% EPS growth plus the dividend, noting upside if additional growth opportunities materialize. ## Stable Capital Plan and No 2026 Equity Need NorthWestern kept its 2026–2030 capital plan unchanged at $3.2 billion, with investments spread across transmission, distribution and supply. Importantly for investors, management said it does not expect to issue common equity in 2026, though equity needs could arise in 2027. ## Wildfire Protection Wins in Key States South Dakota enacted Senate Bill 36, which provides utility wildfire protections and notably bars strict liability. This aligns South Dakota’s legal framework with Montana’s, giving NorthWestern greater certainty around wildfire‑related risk in two of its core electric jurisdictions. ## Regulatory Filings Advance Toward 2026 Decisions The company filed its merger notice with federal regulators in December, starting a roughly 180‑day review clock that could produce a decision around mid‑year. Management expects the remaining federal and state approvals to fall into place during 2026, assuming state dockets proceed as planned. ## Transmission and Margin Drivers Offset Costs New Montana electric rates, sales of Colstrip output to Puget and ongoing transmission revenue growth supported margin in the quarter. These factors helped cushion the impact of higher operating expenses and provided a partial offset to other earnings pressures. ## Warm Winter Drives Volume Shortfall Montana experienced its warmest winter in more than a century, which sharply reduced heating demand. Management said this weather‑driven volume shortfall reduced earnings by about $0.17 per share versus normal conditions for the quarter. ## Colstrip Costs and Partial Recovery Headwinds Incremental ownership at the Colstrip plant is adding about $48 million of annual operating cost, or roughly $12 million per quarter. In the latest quarter only about $8 million was offset, leaving $0.05 per share of Colstrip operating expense unrecovered amid weak wholesale power prices. ## Merger‑Related and Other One‑Time Charges Merger‑related expenses reduced earnings by approximately $0.05 per share in the quarter. Management framed these costs as temporary, tied to integration planning and regulatory work needed to move the Black Hills transaction toward closing. ## Rising Operating, Depreciation and Interest Costs The company faced higher operating costs, including roughly $4 million from labor and benefits, along with increased depreciation and interest expense. These rising costs offset some of the rate and transmission‑driven margin gains, weighing on reported earnings. ## Regulatory Timing Uncertainty in Montana NorthWestern’s 2024 Montana rate case remains under reconsideration, and timing for the next full rate review is uncertain. Stay‑out provisions embedded in settlements in Nebraska and South Dakota further shape when and how the company can next seek rate relief. ## Data Center Execution Risks and Local Policy Drag While the data center pipeline is growing, the Zevi project is facing land procurement delays that could slow progress toward firm agreements. Management also flagged disappointment that South Dakota declined sales tax relief for data centers, adding economic uncertainty for projects in that state. ## Potential 2027 Equity Needs on the Horizon Although no common equity issuance is expected in 2026, management signaled that new equity will likely be needed beginning in 2027. Those funds would support incremental generation investments in South Dakota aimed at bolstering reliability and meeting resource adequacy obligations. ## Weak Market Power Prices Pressure Recovery Lower‑than‑expected market power prices during the quarter constrained the company’s ability to recover certain costs tied to new asset ownership. This pricing environment compounded the challenge of absorbing higher Colstrip and other operating expenses into current earnings. ## Guidance and Outlook Remain Intact Looking ahead, NorthWestern reaffirmed 2026 earnings guidance of $3.68–$3.83 and long‑term EPS and rate base growth of 4%–6%, with potential for 5%–7% if the Black Hills merger closes. The company also reiterated its $3.2 billion capital plan, 4% dividend yield and 8%–10% total return goal, while flagging that equity needs are expected to begin in 2027. NorthWestern’s earnings call painted a picture of a utility with firm long‑term plans and strong investor backing but facing notable near‑term execution and cost risks. For shareholders, the key story is that growth, the merger and a growing data center pipeline appear to outweigh the drag from weather, higher expenses and regulatory uncertainty—for now. ### Related Stocks - [BKH.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BKH.US.md) - [NWE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NWE.US.md) - [XLU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/XLU.US.md) - [MLPA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MLPA.US.md) - [JXI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JXI.US.md) - [EMLP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/EMLP.US.md) - [TPYP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TPYP.US.md) - [AMLP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AMLP.US.md) ## Related News & Research - [Black Hills Corp. Announces Quarterly Dividend | BKH Stock News](https://longbridge.com/en/news/284462947.md) - [Black Hills (NYSE:BKH) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.09 EPS](https://longbridge.com/en/news/285451262.md) - [Cambridge Investment Research Advisors Inc. 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