---
title: "CFTC probes oil futures spike ahead of delayed Iran strike"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/287001460.md"
description: "The CFTC is investigating oil futures trading activity linked to Trump's delayed Iran strike decision, focusing on three firms. Ongoing Middle East tensions have kept oil prices elevated, raising inflation concerns and increasing bond yields. Consequently, markets now anticipate an over 80% likelihood of a Fed rate hike by late 2026, shifting from previous expectations of policy easing."
datetime: "2026-05-20T03:53:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287001460.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287001460.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287001460.md)
---

# CFTC probes oil futures spike ahead of delayed Iran strike

Regulators investigate trades: The CFTC is examining oil futures activity shortly before Trump's decision to delay an Iran strike, focusing on at least three firms. Oil and inflation link: Middle East tensions and supply disruptions have kept oil prices high, fueling inflation worries and lifting bond yields. Rate hike bets rise: Markets now see over an 80% chance of a Fed rate hike by late 2026, reversing earlier expectations of policy easing.

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