---
title: "Polymarket Sees Sharp Fluctuation in Elon Musk Tweet Prediction"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/287087037.md"
description: "Polymarket has seen significant volatility in predicting the number of tweets by Elon Musk from May 15 to May 22, 2026. The probability for the 'Yes' option in the '220-239' sub-market dropped from 37.25% to 19.4% in just one hour, a fluctuation of 17.85%. Observers should consider the impact of related breaking news."
datetime: "2026-05-20T14:54:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287087037.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287087037.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287087037.md)
---

# Polymarket Sees Sharp Fluctuation in Elon Musk Tweet Prediction

The prediction market Polymarket has experienced significant volatility in the event predicting the number of tweets by Elon Musk between May 15 and May 22, 2026. According to ChainCatcher, the probability for the 'Yes' option in the sub-market '220-239' has plummeted from 37.25% to 19.4% within an hour, marking a fluctuation of 17.85%. Observers are advised to consider the impact of any related breaking news.

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