---
title: "Fed Rate Hike Probability Reaches 52% Amid Rising Treasury Yields"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/287216210.md"
description: "The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike has risen to 52%, with 30-year U.S. Treasury yields surpassing 5%. This suggests the market anticipates a rate increase. Analysts warn this could affect gold and U.S. stock performance, advising investors to watch market trends closely."
datetime: "2026-05-21T11:54:13.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287216210.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287216210.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287216210.md)
---

# Fed Rate Hike Probability Reaches 52% Amid Rising Treasury Yields

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike has surged to 52%, according to ChainCatcher. The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has exceeded 5%, indicating that the market has already priced in expectations of a rate increase without waiting for an official statement from the Federal Reserve. Analysts suggest that this development could impact the performance of gold and U.S. stocks, urging investors to monitor market trends closely.

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