---
title: "Experts warn of looming market downturn amid trade slowdown"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/288870521.md"
description: "Experts warn of a looming market downturn as WTO data shows slowing global trade growth. Tom Lee predicts a near-term correction due to energy shocks, Fed leadership changes, and major IPOs. Additionally, Gary Shilling and Cem Karsan caution that persistent high valuations and inflation could lead to deep corrections or long-term stagnation in real returns."
datetime: "2026-06-05T13:27:38.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288870521.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288870521.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288870521.md)
---

# Experts warn of looming market downturn amid trade slowdown

Trade growth slows: The WTO reports that global goods trade growth may be losing momentum despite strong demand for AI-related components. Market correction risk: Tom Lee foresees a three-phase market cycle with a near-term correction driven by energy shocks, Fed leadership change, and major IPOs. Long-term stagnation threat: Gary Shilling and Cem Karsan warn of possible deep corrections or decade-long real return losses if high valuations and inflation persist.

## Related News & Research

- [Airline chiefs warn fuel shock may derail profit outlook](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288941117.md)
- [ZAWYA: “Energy is security”: Crescent Petroleum CEO tells Washington the Gulf crisis has become a whole-economy shock](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289180435.md)
- [Don't Wait: Right Now Is an Excellent Opportunity to Rebalance Your Portfolio](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288945131.md)
- [Motley Fool warns on intraday trading risks for active investors](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288943600.md)
- [Turks cannot be made to believe inflation will come down, says veteran economist](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288940205.md)