---
title: "CSC: Probability of Fed Rate Hike Remains Low in the Short Term"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/289248041.md"
description: "CSC pointed out that the probability of a Fed rate hike remains low in the short term. Market concerns are mainly based on assumptions of sticky inflation and a robust job market, representing a reaction at the expectations level. CME data shows that overseas markets expect the Fed to likely begin raising rates in late October 2026. The current global liquidity tightening and market adjustment are an early reaction to expectations of a rate hike in the fourth quarter"
datetime: "2026-06-09T23:45:44.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289248041.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289248041.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/289248041.md)
---

# CSC: Probability of Fed Rate Hike Remains Low in the Short Term

CSC pointed out that in the short term, the probability of a Fed rate hike remains low. Market concerns about Fed tightening are mainly at the expectations level, based on assumptions of sticky domestic inflation in the U.S. and a continuously robust job market. Data from the CME FedWatch tool indicates that overseas markets expect the Fed to likely begin raising rates in late October 2026. The current global liquidity tightening and market adjustment are an early reaction to expectations of a rate hike in the fourth quarter.

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