--- title: "Standard Chartered 'Winter Is Over' For Bitcoin, But Three Things Need To Happen To Prove It" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/289629008.md" description: "Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick declared the crypto winter over, identifying Bitcoin's $59,000 low as the cycle bottom. This reversal from his February bearish outlook relies on three confirmations: net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, continued declines in oil prices, and a potential Bitcoin purchase by Strategy Inc. If these conditions are met, the bottom is confirmed; otherwise, further downside to $55,000-$56,000 is possible." datetime: "2026-06-12T17:57:23.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289629008.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289629008.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/289629008.md) --- # Standard Chartered 'Winter Is Over' For Bitcoin, But Three Things Need To Happen To Prove It Standard Chartered Global Head of Digital Assets Research **Geoff Kendrick** called the crypto bottom Friday, saying **Bitcoin’s** (CRYPTO: BTC) drop to $59,000 marked the lowest point of this cycle and that crypto winter is over. ### Why Kendrick Thinks $59,000 Was The Low Kendrick’s call rests on three converging catalysts arriving simultaneously Friday. Oil prices fell 1.5% to $86 per barrel as **Trump** announced a potential US-Iran peace deal could come this weekend ahead of the G7 summit.  **SpaceX’s** (NASDAQ:SPCX) $75 billion IPO launched, which Kendrick argued pulled capital out of Bitcoin ETFs as investors sold to free up cash for the offering rather than exiting crypto on fundamental concerns. “I think we have now seen the low in crypto asset prices,” Kendrick wrote in a Friday note. “Winter is over,” he added. The call represents a direct reversal of his February note, where he warned of pain and capitulation and cut his near-term Bitcoin target to $50,000. Currently, Bitcoin trades near $64,000, recovering from its $59,000 wick low earlier this week.  The SAR flipped bullish at $59,168, sitting below price for the first time in weeks, a meaningful short-term signal.  ### Three Conditions Kendrick Needs To See Confirmed Kendrick was clear that his call requires verification across three specific data points. Bitcoin ETFs need to post net inflows today.  Oil prices need to continue declining. **Strategy Inc.** (NASDAQ:MSTR) needs to announce a Bitcoin purchase on Monday. Bitcoin ETFs have shed roughly $5 billion in net outflows since mid-May, one of the sharpest selling stretches since inception.  If those flows reverse today alongside falling oil and a Strategy buy, Kendrick argues the bottom confirmation is complete. ### What Happens If The Call Is Wrong The bearish scenario is straightforward. Losing the $59,000 wick low invalidates the SAR signal and opens a move toward $55,000 to $56,000.  Key resistance overhead sits at $65,000, then $68,157 at the 20 SMA, then $74,426 at the 50 SMA.  Reclaiming $65,000 on the back of confirmed ETF inflows and oil declining targets $68,000 to $71,000 as the first recovery leg. _Imagee: Shutterstock_ ### Related Stocks - [STRK.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STRK.US.md) - [STRF.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STRF.US.md) - [GBTC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GBTC.US.md) - [MSTR.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTR.US.md) - [STRD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STRD.US.md) - [STRC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STRC.US.md) - [FBTC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/FBTC.US.md) - [MSTX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTX.US.md) - [MSTZ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTZ.US.md) - [MSTU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTU.US.md) - [BITB.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BITB.US.md) - [ARKB.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ARKB.US.md) - [SMST.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SMST.US.md) - [MSOO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSOO.US.md) - [IBIT.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IBIT.US.md) - [MST.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MST.US.md) - [WNTR.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/WNTR.US.md) - [MSTP.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTP.US.md) - [MSTW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTW.US.md) - [BITO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BITO.US.md) - [BRRR.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BRRR.US.md) - [BTCO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCO.US.md) - [BTCW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCW.US.md) - [HODL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/HODL.US.md) - [EZBC.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/EZBC.US.md) - [BTCE.DE](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCE.DE.md) - [03008.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03008.HK.md) - [03042.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03042.HK.md) - [03430.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03430.HK.md) - [IMST.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/IMST.US.md) - [MSDD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSDD.US.md) - [MSST.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSST.US.md) - [MSTY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTY.US.md) - [MTYY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MTYY.US.md) - [BTCHKD.VAHK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCHKD.VAHK.md) - [BTCUSD.VAHK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTCUSD.VAHK.md) - [02888.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/02888.HK.md) - [STAN.UK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STAN.UK.md) ## Related News & Research - [SpaceX joins Bitcoin's top 8 club with 18.7K holdings: Bulls back alive](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289630479.md) - [LIVE MARKETS-Bitcoin's dull year may signal market maturity, Bernstein says](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289082198.md) - [Data Shows Investors Have Moved From Crypto To Pre-IPO Companies](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289473497.md) - [Metaplanet to acquire Siiibo Securities for $13 million to develop bitcoin-linked yield products](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289577739.md) - [ANALYSIS-Why the blockbuster SpaceX IPO may spell more bad news for crypto](https://longbridge.com/en/news/289306537.md)