--- title: "SpaceX strongly enters the NASDAQ-100, Wall Street reveals four key layout secrets" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/292364624.md" description: "SpaceX was officially included in the NASDAQ-100 index on July 7, with a weight of approximately 1.34%. Due to the low float ratio, the weight is relatively low, but it is expected to increase with the lifting of the lock-up period. Despite a short-term decline in stock price, Wall Street investment banks remain optimistic about its prospects, believing it has significant influence" datetime: "2026-07-11T00:57:45.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/292364624.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/292364624.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/292364624.md) --- # SpaceX strongly enters the NASDAQ-100, Wall Street reveals four key layout secrets According to reports from the Financial News biweekly, Tesla CEO Elon Musk's Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX) went public on the NASDAQ stock exchange on June 12 this year and was officially included in the NASDAQ-100 index on July 7. According to statistics from CNN, there are currently over 200 investment products tracking the NASDAQ-100 index, with a total asset size of $800 billion. This also means that investors holding such products (like funds) automatically gain the opportunity to invest in SpaceX. The media describes that SpaceX's stock has entered a "confidence phase after the honeymoon period." Yahoo Finance commented that investors' support for Musk is akin to a "faith," and after SpaceX's IPO, shareholders need to maintain their belief, making the market's interpretation of SpaceX's prospects even more critical. ### Weight of SpaceX in the NASDAQ-100 Index The Financial News biweekly analyzed that the components of the NASDAQ-100 index are the 100 largest non-financial companies traded on the NASDAQ stock exchange, primarily consisting of technology companies. Data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) indicates that SpaceX's weight in the NASDAQ-100 index is approximately 1.34%. The reason SpaceX's weight is only 1.34% is that the calculation of component weights in the NASDAQ-100 index is based on the number of shares available for trading, but at the time of SpaceX's IPO, the proportion of shares available for trading was less than 5%, resulting in a lower calculated weight. However, as the lock-up period for shares gradually expires (some shareholders will have their shares unlocked as early as August), more SpaceX shares will become available for trading, and SpaceX's weight in the NASDAQ-100 index has the potential to gradually increase. ### SpaceX Target Price, Optimistic Views from Investment Banks On Tuesday (July 7), SpaceX's stock price fell nearly 7% to $149.47, but major Wall Street investment banks generally hold an optimistic view of its prospects. JP Morgan issued a report stating that SpaceX's potential impact on humanity is greater than that of any previous company, estimating that SpaceX's stock price could reach $225 by the end of 2027. Market research firm MoffettNathanson takes a more cautious stance, believing that SpaceX will still face variables such as regulation, technology, and market demand in the future, predicting that the stock price will drop to $131. However, the Financial News biweekly points out that, according to analyst target prices tracked by Bloomberg, SpaceX's average target price is $236.45, significantly higher than the closing price on July 7. ### Conditions Needed for Stock Price to Score Wall Street investment banks have proposed various fundamental conditions for SpaceX's target price; for example, the efficiency of the Starship must be maximized. However, at this stage, the forecasts for the number of Starship launches by different investment banks vary significantly. JP Morgan predicts that SpaceX will launch a total of 5,000 Starships by 2031, while the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) estimates that SpaceX will launch 2,440 Starships by 2030. In addition, SpaceX must fulfill its commitment to successfully develop an AI data center in space; furthermore, after acquiring the artificial intelligence (AI) startup Cursor, it should effectively enhance the market competitiveness of the xAI chatbot Grok. ### Will SpaceX be included in the S&P 500 index like Tesla? CNN reports that SpaceX must achieve profitability for four consecutive quarters to have a chance of being included in the S&P 500 index. According to an analysis by Caixin Weekly, taking Tesla as an example, it took the company a full 10 years to be included in the S&P 500 index. Tesla went public in June 2010 at a price of $17 per share, and a few months later, the stock price fell to around $1.30, fluctuating for several years until it truly took off in 2020. The market expects that in the coming quarters, investors will take a more cautious approach in reviewing SpaceX's performance, leading to increased stock price volatility. "People are worried about overly high expectations," said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide's investment management group, estimating that the volatility in stock prices will continue until after the earnings report is released. (This article is authorized for reprint by Caixin; cover image source: Flickr/Steve Jurvetson CC BY 2.0) ### Further Reading: - Foxconn reveals four key principles for selecting startups! Liu Yangwei shares his entrepreneurial experience and "failure studies" in investment. - AI is not a bubble! Lin Hsien-Ming increases GPU computing power by 2.4 million hours and talks about his entrepreneurial journey with tears. - Taiwan stocks cash out at high points! 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