---
title: "CME FedWatch Shows 88.8% Chance of July Rate Hold"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/292956789.md"
description: "CME FedWatch shows an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in July, with an 11.2% chance of a 25-basis-point hike. According to ChainCatcher, the probability of no change by September is 48.8%, while the chances of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 50-basis-point hike stand at 46.2% and 5.1%, respectively."
datetime: "2026-07-16T22:14:04.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/292956789.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/292956789.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/292956789.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# CME FedWatch Shows 88.8% Chance of July Rate Hold

CME FedWatch shows an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in July, with an 11.2% chance of a 25-basis-point hike. According to ChainCatcher, the probability of no change by September is 48.8%, while the chances of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 50-basis-point hike stand at 46.2% and 5.1%, respectively.

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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**