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PG & E | 8-K: FY2026 Q2 Revenue: USD 5.902 B

Earnings Watch
Jul 24, 2026 at 02:46 AM
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Revenue: As of FY2026 Q2, the actual value is USD 5.902 B.

EPS: As of FY2026 Q2, the actual value is USD 0.33, missing the estimate of USD 0.35.

EBIT: As of FY2026 Q2, the actual value is USD 1.47 B.

Business Outlook and Guidance

PG&E Corporation is on track for its 2026 core EPS guidance of $1.64 - $1.66 and reaffirms its 2027-2030 guidance, anticipating 9%+ annual growth in non-GAAP core EPS for this period . The company reaffirms its $73 billion capital investment plan for 2026-2030 and aims to maintain “Path to Flat” customer bills, targeting a 20% dividend payout by 2028 with no equity need for 2026-2030 . Operating cash flow is projected to exceed $10 billion .

Non-GAAP Core EPS

  • Second Quarter 2026: $0.40
  • First Half 2026: $0.83
  • 2026 Guidance: $1.64 - $1.66
  • 2027-2030 Growth: 9%+ Annually
  • 2025 (Q2 / YTD): $0.31 / $0.64
  • Key Drivers (2026 vs. 2025):
    • Customer capital investment increased earnings by $0.03 (Q2) and $0.09 (YTD) .
    • Operating & maintenance savings increased earnings by $0.02 (Q2) and $0.04 (YTD) .
    • Redeployment decreased earnings by -$0.00 (Q2) and -$0.01 (YTD) .
    • Timing and other factors increased earnings by $0.04 (Q2) and $0.07 (YTD) .

Operating & Maintenance (O&M) Cost Reduction (Non-Fuel)

  • January 2025 - June 2026: $11.2 million savings through lower-cost repairs .
  • Year-to-date through June: Over $40 million savings achieved .
  • Forecasted for second half of year: Approximately $60 million additional savings .
  • Historical Performance: $90 million (5.5% savings) in 2023, $60 million (4% savings) in 2024, $85 million (2.5% savings) in 2025 .
  • Long-Term Plan: $45 million - $70 million (2% - 4% savings) .

Capital Investment Plan

  • 2026-2030 Total: $73 billion .
  • Additional Opportunities: At least $5 billion in customer beneficial investment opportunities (not reflected in CapEx or rate base) .
  • 2026-2030 CapEx By Functional Area: Electric Distribution: $38 billion; Electric Transmission: $20 billion; Technology & Other: $8 billion; Gas T&D: $4 billion; Power Generation: $3 billion .
  • 2026-2030 CapEx By Customer Benefits: Safety: $20 billion; Capacity & New Business: $16 billion; Reliability: $23 billion; Resiliency: $14 billion .

Rate Base (Weighted Average)

  • 2025A: $57 billion .
  • 2026F: $62 billion .
  • 2027F: $67 billion .
  • 2028F: $72 billion .
  • 2029F: $77 billion .
  • 2030F: $85 billion .
  • 2026 Total Rate Base: $75 billion (CPUC $62 billion, FERC $13 billion) .
  • Historical: $58 billion (2023A), $63 billion (2024A), $69 billion (2025A) .

Credit Ratings (as of April 23, 2026)

  • PG&E Corporation Secured Debt Rating: Moody’s Ba2 (Stable), S&P/Fitch BB (Stable) .
  • Utility Secured Debt Rating: Moody’s Baa2 (Positive, Upgraded), S&P/Fitch BBB (Stable) .
  • 2020 Ratings: PG&E Corporation Secured Debt Rating: Moody’s B1, S&P/Fitch B+; Utility Secured Debt Rating: Moody’s Ba3, S&P/Fitch BB- .

Dividend Payout Ratio

  • Historical: 0% (2023), 3% (2024), 7% (2025) .
  • Target: 20% by 2028 .

Funds From Operations (FFO) to Debt Ratio

  • 2025: 14.0% .
  • Target: Mid-teens .

Operating Cash Flow

  • Historical: $4.7 billion (2023), $8.0 billion (2024), $8.7 billion (2025) .
  • Forecast: Over $10 billion .

Wildfire Mitigation Metrics (January 2025 - June 2026)

  • Outage Minutes Avoided: 19.6 million .
  • Emergency Response Hours Avoided: 5,034 .
  • Ignitions Avoided in High Fire-Threat District (HFTD) / High Fire-Risk Area (HFRA): 28 .
  • Ignition Rate (Weather-Normalized R3+ per 100k Circuit Mile Days): Decreased from 3.23 (2017) to 1.05 (2026 YTD) .
  • PG&E R3+ Ignitions > 10 Acres in HFTD + HFRA: Decreased from 24 (2017) to 2 (2026 YTD) .

Data Center Pipeline (MWs)

  • Total (June 2026): 12,710 MWs .
    • Application & Preliminary Engineering: 8,200 MWs (26 projects) .
    • Final Engineering: 3,880 MWs (23 projects) .
    • Interconnection Construction Agreement: 490 MWs (4 projects) .
    • Construction: 140 MWs .
  • Total (March 2026): 5,090 MWs .

Wildfire Fund and SB 254

  • Wildfire Fund Continuation Account: Provides $18 billion for future wildfires .
  • PG&E’s Share: Lowered by 25% to 47.85% (from 64.20%) .
  • Utility Annual Funding (2029-2045): $300 million per year .
  • Customer Annual Charge (2036-2045): Approximately $900 million per year (approximately $3 per monthly bill) .
  • SB 254 Securitization: Includes $2.9 billion of securitized capital .

SB 846 Diablo Canyon Legislation

  • State Funding: $1.4 billion available to support extended operations, including up to $1.1 billion from DOE Civil Nuclear Credit program .
  • Cost Recovery (2025-2030): $100 million/year in lieu of traditional rate base return, with an annual automatic true-up mechanism for costs .
  • Performance Fee: $13/MWh performance fee upside to be deployed for customer benefit .

Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025)

  • GAAP Earnings: $733 million (2026) vs. $521 million (2025) .
  • Amortization of Wildfire Fund contribution: $91 million (2026) vs. $77 million (2025) .
  • Investigation remedies: $35 million (2026) vs. $30 million (2025) .
  • Prior period net regulatory impact: $35 million (2026) vs. -$6 million (2025) .
  • Wildfire-related costs, net of recoveries: $4 million (2026) vs. $40 million (2025) .
  • Non-GAAP Core Earnings: $920 million (2026) vs. $674 million (2025) .

Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025)

  • Net Income (GAAP basis): $761 million (2026) vs. $549 million (2025) .
  • Operating Income: $1,263 million (2026) vs. $1,096 million (2025) .
  • Depreciation, amortization, and decommissioning: $1,062 million (2026) vs. $1,073 million (2025) .
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA: $2,542 million (2026) vs. $2,362 million (2025) .

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